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Science Applications stock target cut on modest growth outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 03/06/2024, 18:12
SAIC
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On Monday, Stifel has adjusted the price target for Science Applications (NASDAQ:SAIC) International Corp. (NASDAQ: SAIC), reducing it slightly to $127 from the previous $129, while keeping a Hold rating on the stock.

The company reported its first-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.92, which is in line with the consensus and slightly above Stifel's estimate of $1.89. SAIC's sales reached $1.85 billion, matching both the estimates of Stifel and the consensus.

The company experienced an organic growth of 0.4% on a pro-forma basis during the first quarter, which was hampered by certain recompete losses, notably the NASA OMES contract. Despite this, SAIC's management has reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating an improvement in the second half of the year with an expected organic growth rate of approximately 2.5%.

The reaffirmed guidance includes projections for adjusted EPS, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow (FCF), indicating confidence that the company will still surpass the $8.00 adjusted EPS target for the fiscal year.

SAIC's book-to-bill ratio showed a positive trend, reaching 1.4 times in the quarter, which brings the trailing twelve months (TTM) ratio back to the 1.0 times mark. This is seen as a significant achievement and a potential indicator of future growth. Stifel notes that the company's performance in the second half of the year is expected to benefit from a better funding environment and a strong project pipeline.

The firm is scheduled to host Science Applications for a non-deal roadshow (NDR) in the following week, which may provide additional insights into the company's prospects and the factors influencing its performance. The market will be looking forward to updates from this event to gauge the potential trajectory of SAIC's growth and financial outcomes.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Stifel's recent price target adjustment for Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC), real-time data from InvestingPro offers additional context. SAIC's market capitalization stands at $6.07 billion, and the stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 13.15, which suggests a valuation that is potentially attractive when considering its near-term earnings growth.

The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 was $7.44 billion, with a slight decrease in growth at -3.37%. Despite this, SAIC has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining dividend payments for 12 consecutive years with a current yield of 1.1%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which could signal confidence in the company's value. Moreover, SAIC's high shareholder yield and low P/E ratio relative to its earnings growth are factors that investors may find reassuring.

While the company suffers from weak gross profit margins, analysts predict it will remain profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months. Over the last decade, SAIC has also provided a high return to its shareholders.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers even more tips to help evaluate SAIC's financial health and future prospects. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking access to a total of 8 InvestingPro Tips for SAIC. These insights could be particularly valuable for investors looking to make informed decisions based on the latest data and expert analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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