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Redburn-Atlantic downgrades Palo Alto Networks stock on growth skepticism

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 18/07/2024, 09:24
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On Thursday, Redburn-Atlantic adjusted its stance on Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) stock, moving from a Buy to a Neutral rating. The firm also revised its price target to $325.00, down from the previous target of $350.00. The change in rating follows Palo Alto Networks' recent unveiling of its 'platformisation' strategy, which has led to a recalibration of near-term expectations.

The analyst from Redburn-Atlantic expressed skepticism about market predictions for a significant uptick in the company's dollar growth from the fiscal year 2026 onward. According to the analyst, such a sharp reacceleration is unlikely. The firm acknowledged Palo Alto's strong customer retention and broader market defenses compared to its peer, CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD), but remained cautious about future growth prospects.

Market consensus has projected that Palo Alto Networks will match its third-quarter 2023 high of $350 million in added annual revenue by the fourth quarter of 2025. This forecast is based on an anticipated correction in the demand environment and the assumption that the company could return to the peak performance levels seen during the pandemic-driven super-cycle.

The analyst's comments point to a challenging outlook for Palo Alto Networks, as the company navigates a market that expects significant growth amidst economic pressures. The revised price target reflects a more conservative view of the cybersecurity firm's potential to expand its revenue in the coming years.

In other recent news, Palo Alto Networks reported a third-quarter revenue of $1.98 billion, slightly surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.97 billion. This performance led DA Davidson to initiate coverage on the stock, assigning a Buy rating and a price target of $380, while Macquarie raised its stock price target, maintaining a Neutral stance. Citi also reaffirmed its Buy rating on shares of Palo Alto Networks, maintaining a steady price target of $345.00, expressing confidence in the company's financial management.

TD Cowen maintained its Buy rating on Palo Alto Networks, citing a favorable demand environment and a robust pipeline for the fourth fiscal quarter. Argus also maintained a Buy rating and increased its price target to $348, highlighting the company's continued innovation in the cybersecurity arena. RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating on the company, emphasizing successful initial platformization efforts and a solid backlog.

In addition to these analyst remarks, Palo Alto Networks recently announced the acquisition of IBM (NYSE:IBM)'s QRadar SaaS assets, a deal expected to be finalized by the end of September 2024. These are the latest developments shaping the company's trajectory in the rapidly expanding cybersecurity market.

InvestingPro Insights

As Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) adapts its strategies amidst a shifting cybersecurity landscape, current InvestingPro data and tips provide a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position. With a robust market capitalization of $107.55 billion, Palo Alto Networks trades at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 49.28, reflecting its strong market presence as a prominent player in the Software industry.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while Palo Alto Networks is expected to see net income growth this year, it's trading at high valuation multiples across various metrics, including EBIT and EBITDA, which stand at 879.5M USD and 1076.5M USD respectively for the last twelve months as of Q3 2023. This could indicate investor confidence in the company's future profitability, which is also supported by a revenue growth of 20.05% over the same period.

The company's solid gross profit margin of 74.43% demonstrates its ability to maintain profitability, and with cash flows that can sufficiently cover interest payments, its financial stability is further affirmed. However, it's worth noting that Palo Alto Networks does not pay a dividend, potentially affecting investor decisions for those seeking income alongside capital growth.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, there are 15 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed through their platform. To explore these insights and make informed investment decisions, consider using the coupon code UK10 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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