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RBC upbeat on Pegasystems stock, highlights strong FCF outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/06/2024, 10:48
PEGA
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On Tuesday, RBC Capital maintained its Outperform rating on Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) stock with a steadfast $77.00 price target. The firm's stance comes after attending the company's conference and investor day in Las Vegas.

Key observations from the event include Pegasystems' Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth targets, which are slightly below the previous year's figures but seem to align with what investors anticipated. Additionally, the assumptions regarding the contribution of artificial intelligence (AI) to the company's growth are deemed conservative.

Pegasystems reaffirmed its Free Cash Flow (FCF) and other operating model metrics for the year 2027, emphasizing the stability of its financial outlook. Despite not providing updates on the broader macroeconomic environment, Pegasystems' management did acknowledge a degree of customer skepticism towards AI, attributing it to the heightened general excitement around the technology.

The analyst's report suggests that Pegasystems' shares currently present an attractive risk/reward scenario, especially considering the company's valuation at 14 times its estimated CY24E Free Cash Flow. This evaluation underscores a positive outlook for the software company's financial performance in the coming years.

RBC Capital's analysis of Pegasystems' investor day highlights the firm's cautious yet optimistic projections for the company's growth and financial health, particularly in the realm of AI and its impact on future business operations. The reaffirmation of financial targets for 2027 suggests confidence in Pegasystems' strategic direction and operational execution.

In other recent news, Pegasystems, the software company, has been the subject of analyst ratings and target revisions. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) revised its price target for Pegasystems, lowering it to $70 from the previous $75, while maintaining an Overweight rating.

The firm anticipates steady quarterly performance from Pegasystems, with growth in Annual Contract Value (ACV) expected to be close to or slightly below the rate at the end of the previous year. Despite the reduced price target, JPMorgan still considers the stock's current valuation favorable for long-term investors.

Simultaneously, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on Pegasystems, maintaining a price target of $87.00. The firm announced the expiration of its Upside Catalyst Watch call for Pegasystems, indicating that the anticipated developments during the watch period have been fully considered in the current rating and target.

Both JPMorgan and Citi's ratings reflect their assessment of Pegasystems' value based on various factors, including the company's market position, financial performance, and growth prospects. These recent developments underscore the continued interest and analysis of Pegasystems by major financial institutions.

InvestingPro Insights

Investors looking into Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) will find additional insights from InvestingPro that could further inform their decisions. With a market capitalization of $4.98 billion and a P/E ratio that has adjusted to 48.12 in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Pegasystems appears to be trading at a high earnings multiple. This aligns with RBC Capital's note on the company's valuation. The PEG ratio, which stands at 0.55, suggests that the company's earnings growth is potentially undervalued relative to its P/E ratio.

Moreover, Pegasystems has demonstrated a solid revenue growth of 13.44% in the last twelve months leading to Q1 2024, indicating a steady upward trajectory. InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, and the company is expected to be profitable this year. With a consistent dividend payout for 19 consecutive years and a moderate level of debt, the company maintains a stable financial posture.

For those considering an investment, utilizing InvestingPro could offer an edge, with PRONEWS24 providing an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. There are 11 more InvestingPro Tips available that delve deeper into Pegasystems' financial health and prospects, which could be valuable for a comprehensive analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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