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Piper Sandler sets fresh target on LandBridge shares, sees balanced valuation

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/07/2024, 10:08
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On Tuesday, Piper Sandler initiated coverage on LandBridge (NYSE: LB) with a Neutral rating and a shares target of $30.00. The firm recognized the potential for future commercial development from the company's extensive land holdings in West Texas but noted that the current cash flow multiple and net asset value (NAV) reflected a full valuation of the stock.

LandBridge, which operates with a capital-efficient business model, holds an 8,000 net mineral acre position in the Delaware Basin. This region has been a significant source of domestic oil and natural gas production over the last decade.

The company's business strategy includes managing water overflow in partnership with its older sister company, WaterBridge, as part of the oil and gas production process.

The company was established in 2023 by the private equity sponsor Five Point Energy. This partnership aims to leverage the extensive 230,000 surface acres owned by LandBridge to not only support traditional pipeline operations but also to explore commercial development opportunities.

One of the key highlights for LandBridge's growth prospects is a data center lease signed with Five Point Energy. This agreement is seen as the beginning of the company's efforts to monetize its vast acreage through commercial development, beyond its steady pipeline business. Piper Sandler's initiation of coverage reflects a balanced view of the company's current valuation and its potential for future growth.

In other recent news, LandBridge, a land holding company operating in the Permian Basin, has been the focus of analysis by Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Citi, and Barclays (LON:BARC). Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $35.00, emphasizing LandBridge's strategic positioning and potential for expansion in areas such as data centers and solar farms. The firm also highlighted the potential for an increase in market share for produced water and the prospect of a dividend payment.

Citi initiated coverage of LandBridge with a neutral rating and a price target of $31, highlighting the company's potential for organic growth through mergers and acquisitions and diversification into renewable energy sectors. Citi's price target is based on a net present value methodology, suggesting a valuation of about 18.5 times LandBridge's projected 2025 EBITDA.

Barclays initiated its coverage of LandBridge at an Equal Weight rating with a $29 target, highlighting the company's ownership of 220,000 surface acres in the Delaware sub-basin of the Permian Basin.

They projected substantial growth for LandBridge, with an expected 36% increase in EBITDA in 2025 and a 12% increase in 2026, partly driven by acquisitions planned for the first half of 2024.

However, Barclays pointed out potential risks, including execution risks associated with future acquisitions and potential conflicts of interest involving LandBridge, its affiliate WaterBridge, and the sponsor Five Point. These recent developments provide insight into LandBridge's current market position and potential growth trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

As LandBridge navigates the competitive energy landscape, real-time metrics from InvestingPro offer a deeper dive into the company's financial health and market performance. With a substantial market capitalization of $2.16 billion and a robust gross profit margin of 96.0% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, LandBridge shows a strong ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue. The company's stock has experienced a notable 27.65% return over the last month, indicating a positive investor sentiment and momentum in the market.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that LandBridge's stock is currently in overbought territory, which could signal a period of consolidation or pullback in the near future. Additionally, the company's short-term obligations exceeding its liquid assets may require attention from investors considering the liquidity and financial stability of the firm. With these insights in mind, readers looking to delve deeper into LandBridge's financials and stock performance can explore additional tips on InvestingPro, where there are 5 more tips available to aid in investment decision-making. Use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription for more detailed analysis and tips.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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