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Piper Sandler cites macro headwinds for BlackLine stock outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/08/2024, 13:30
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On Wednesday, Piper Sandler adjusted its price target for BlackLine (NASDAQ:BL), a provider of financial automation software solutions, to $51.00 from the previous $55.00 while retaining a Neutral rating on the stock.

The revision reflects concerns about internal challenges and macroeconomic headwinds that the company faced in the first quarter of the year, which have affected visibility into the timing of demand stabilization.

The company reported a modest $2.5 million top-line beat and continued customer remaining performance obligations (cRPO) growth of 10% for the second consecutive quarter. This suggests that the early benefits of ERP modernization efforts with its largest partner, SAP, which accounts for 25% of sales, are helping to maintain demand in the short term.

Despite the positive signs of demand stabilization, it is still deemed premature to predict a reacceleration in top-line growth. BlackLine's guidance for the second half of the year indicates a mid-point growth of 8% year-over-year. However, the analysis suggests that the company may have moved past the worst of its revenue declines.

Piper Sandler has increased its revenue estimates for BlackLine by $3.7 million and its earnings per share (EPS) forecast by $0.01, citing gains in operating efficiency.

Nonetheless, the revised price target to $51 reflects a more conservative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projection through 2028 and an anticipated increase in the number of shares outstanding. The firm maintains its Neutral stance on the stock.

In other recent news, BlackLine, a financial automation software provider, has been the subject of multiple analyst adjustments and significant business developments.

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) reduced its price target for BlackLine to $50, maintaining an Underweight rating, while Baird raised the price target to $72, keeping an Outperform rating. Concurrently, BMO Capital Markets increased the company's price target to $67, keeping a Market Perform rating.

BlackLine has also announced its intention to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2029. This move is aimed at financing capped call transactions and repurchasing a portion of its 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. Additional funds will support general corporate activities, potentially including acquisitions.

On the earnings front, BlackLine reported strong financial results for the first quarter with a total revenue of $157 million and significant non-GAAP net income of $40 million.

The company is implementing a new operating model and focusing on AI-powered solutions, such as the Journal Risk Analyzer. A new Chief Technology Officer, Jeremy Ung, has been hired to lead these innovation efforts.

InvestingPro Insights

As BlackLine (NASDAQ:BL) navigates its current financial landscape, the latest data from InvestingPro provides a broader context for investors. With a market capitalization of $2.73 billion, the company is trading at a P/E ratio of 35.54, suggesting that investors have high expectations for future earnings. Notably, BlackLine's revenue has shown resilience, with a growth of nearly 12% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating a solid top-line performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight two key points for potential investors: BlackLine is expected to see net income growth this year, and it operates with a moderate level of debt, which may offer some financial stability amidst uncertain economic conditions. Additionally, the company is trading near its 52-week low, which could present an attractive entry point for investors looking for long-term growth opportunities.

For those considering an investment in BlackLine, there are 12 additional InvestingPro Tips available to help inform a well-rounded investment strategy. Analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which aligns with Piper Sandler's improved EPS forecast. Furthermore, the company's liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations suggests a strong liquidity position that could help navigate any short-term headwinds.

While the revised price target from Piper Sandler acknowledges macroeconomic challenges, the InvestingPro Fair Value estimate of $50.38 indicates potential upside from the current price of $44.09. As BlackLine continues to leverage its partnership with SAP and improve its operating efficiency, these InvestingPro insights may help investors make more informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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