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Palantir shares face over 20% downside risk, William Blair says

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 06/08/2024, 13:42
PLTR
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On Tuesday, William Blair maintained an Underperform rating on Palantir Technologies Inc . (NYSE:PLTR), indicating a bearish outlook on the stock's performance. The firm highlighted a significant disparity in market capitalization between Palantir and its peer Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW), despite Snowflake reporting higher revenues and growing at a comparable rate within the data analytics market.

The analyst at William Blair pointed out that Palantir's market capitalization stands at $68 billion, which overshadows Snowflake's $38 billion, even though Snowflake has generated greater revenue of $3.5 billion compared to Palantir's $2.7 billion for the current fiscal year. Both companies operate in the same data analytics sector and are expanding at similar rates.

William Blair anticipates a potential decline of over 20% in Palantir shares over the next year. This expected decrease is part of what the firm calls a "phase-one re-rating," where the revenue multiples of Palantir and Snowflake are projected to align more closely.

The firm also outlined risks that could affect Palantir's stock price. On the downside, the risks include increased competition from both government and commercial vendors. On the upside, potential optimism could arise from the impact of unspecified factors.

In summary, William Blair's analysis suggests that Palantir's stock may be overvalued when compared to Snowflake, considering the revenue and market growth rates. The firm reaffirms its Underperform rating, signaling caution to investors regarding Palantir's stock in the near future.

In other recent news, Palantir Technologies Inc. reported significant growth in its second-quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings, with total revenue reaching $678.1 million, a 27% year-over-year increase. This success is attributed to a high demand for the company's Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions in commercial and government sectors.

The U.S. commercial segment grew by 70% year-over-year, while government revenue increased by 23% year-over-year to $371 million. The company also reported an increase in substantial deals, with 96 contracts valued at over $1 million and 27 deals worth at least $10 million.

Investment firm Wedbush has shown confidence in Palantir's growth trajectory, raising its price target on the company's shares to $38.00. The firm cited the significant role of AI in the company's growth. Palantir also launched a new initiative, Warp Speed, aimed at revolutionizing American manufacturing.

These developments have led to Palantir raising its full-year revenue guidance to $2.746 billion. The company ended the quarter with $4 billion in cash and short-term US treasury securities and a customer base of 593 customers, a 41% increase from the previous year.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data provides a current snapshot of Palantir Technologies Inc.'s financial health and market performance. As of the latest metrics, Palantir boasts a market capitalization of $53.65 billion. The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at a lofty 173.21, reflecting a premium valuation relative to near-term earnings growth, despite the company trading at a low PEG ratio of 0.93 over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This suggests that investors are anticipating growth in earnings that could justify the high P/E ratio. Additionally, Palantir's revenue growth remains robust, with a 17.61% increase over the last twelve months and an impressive gross profit margin of 81.16%.

Two InvestingPro Tips highlight key points for investors: Palantir holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial stability, and the net income is expected to grow this year. These factors paint a picture of a company with strong fundamentals, which could be appealing to investors looking for growth potential. Moreover, analysts predict that Palantir will be profitable this year, which is an important consideration for future valuation.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, there are over 16 additional InvestingPro Tips available on Palantir, which offer insights into various aspects of the company's financials and market performance. These tips can be found at: https://www.investing.com/pro/PLTR, providing a more comprehensive view for those considering an investment in Palantir Technologies Inc.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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