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Open Text lowers FCF guidance in FY26; Citi cuts stock PT accordingly

Published 03/05/2024, 14:04
OTEX
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On Friday, Citi adjusted its outlook on Open Text (NASDAQ:OTEX) Corporation (NASDAQ:OTEX), a global leader in Enterprise Information Management software, by reducing the company's price target from $42.00 to $37.00, while retaining a Neutral stance on the stock. The revision follows Open Text's recent earnings report, which presented a combination of overperforming and underperforming figures relative to consensus expectations.

The company reported a modest revenue beat of $13 million, which represents a 0.9% increase compared to the anticipated 2.6% average for the fourth quarter. However, Open Text fell short of consensus estimates for Cloud revenue by $3 million and EBITDA by $5 million. Despite the shortfall, the firm experienced a notable year-over-year growth in enterprise cloud bookings, surging by 53%, albeit slightly cooling from the 63% growth seen in the previous quarter.

The growth in bookings was attributed to the successful deployment of SaaS through Project Titanium, advancements in AI with Aviators, and an increase in the average contract duration from approximately three to four years. The analyst noted that the translation of these bookings into Cloud revenue is expected to be gradual, as Open Text is securing larger deals that will recognize revenue over extended periods.

In a strategic move, Open Text has divested the Application Modernization and Connectivity (AMC) division of Micro Focus to Rocket Software for $2.275 billion. The proceeds from this transaction have been directed to reduce Open Text's debt by $2 billion. This divestiture is projected to decrease the company's fourth-quarter revenue by $100 million and is likely to impact fiscal year 2025 revenue by approximately $530 million or more, with a corresponding EBITDA reduction of around $300 million.

Citi's revised price target reflects updates to the firm's estimates, including anticipated lower free cash flow in fiscal year 2026. The analyst's commentary provides a snapshot of Open Text's current financial landscape following recent developments and strategic decisions.

InvestingPro Insights

Open Text Corporation (NASDAQ:OTEX) has demonstrated financial resilience and strategic growth, with recent data underpinning its market position. According to InvestingPro, OTEX has a market capitalization of $9.52 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Enterprise Information Management software sector. The company's robust gross profit margin of approximately 77% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 indicates efficient operations and a strong ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue. Despite a high current P/E ratio of 75.83, the adjusted P/E ratio for the same period stands at a more moderate 33.71, suggesting that the market has expectations of future earnings growth.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Open Text has raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Analysts also anticipate sales growth in the current year, which aligns with the reported 51.37% revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. These factors, combined with a forecast of net income growth this year, offer investors a positive outlook on the company's financial health and potential for continued expansion.

Investors looking for more in-depth analysis on Open Text Corporation can find additional InvestingPro Tips by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/OTEX. To enhance your investment research with these expert insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. There are 7 more InvestingPro Tips available for Open Text, providing a comprehensive view of the company's performance and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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