On Thursday, Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) saw its price target increased by DA Davidson from $16.00 to $18.00, while the firm kept a Neutral rating on the stock. The adjustment reflects a more optimistic view on the bank's net interest income (NII) and credit quality.
DA Davidson's analysis pointed out a positive trend in the bank's credit metrics, noting a decrease in classified assets and charge-offs for the third quarter of 2024. However, the firm also observed that non-performing asset (NPA) levels were on the rise again.
The bank's performance in terms of net interest income and net interest margin (NIM) was highlighted as exceeding expectations. This led DA Davidson to believe that Old Second Bancorp's previous guidance on the potential negative impact of interest rate cuts on NIM might have been too cautious.
Based on these observations, DA Davidson has revised its earnings per share (EPS) forecast for Old Second Bancorp upwards. The improved NII forecast played a significant role in the firm's decision to raise the price target while maintaining a Neutral stance on the stock.
The analyst from DA Davidson commented on the bank's financial health, stating, "With classified assets and chargeoffs down, the main credit message was positive in 3Q24 despite NPA levels heading higher once again. Further credit workout remains under review, in our view. On the NII/NIM front, clearly the bank outperformed expectations and suggested prior guidance on the negative impact of rate cuts on NIM may be conservative. We increased our EPS outlook, and price target, based on a better NII forecast and maintain our NEUTRAL rating."
In other recent news, Old Second Bancorp's Q3 2024 earnings report revealed an operating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52, exceeding both the consensus and Piper Sandler's estimates. The reported EPS was $0.50, influenced by various factors including a negative mortgage servicing rights fair value adjustment and costs linked to branch acquisitions. Piper Sandler attributed the outperformance to stronger net interest income and core fee income, a lower loan loss provision, and a reduced tax rate.
Old Second Bancorp demonstrated robust revenue and high profitability, with a return on assets (ROA) of 1.6% and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 17.1% for the third quarter. Amid these developments, the company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.06 per share. However, DA Davidson, an analyst firm, recently downgraded Old Second Bancorp from "Buy" to "Neutral," citing a less favorable asset-sensitive balance sheet position and increased net interest margin pressure.
In other recent financial developments, Old Second Bancorp reported Q2 2024 results, showing a net income of $21.9 million or $0.48 per diluted share, and loan growth in commercial, lease, and construction portfolios totaling $7.2 million. The company is also considering mergers and acquisitions activity, as long as the pricing is disciplined.
InvestingPro Insights
To complement DA Davidson's analysis, recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for Old Second Bancorp's (OSBC) financial performance. The company has demonstrated profitability over the last twelve months, aligning with analysts' predictions for continued profitability this year. This supports DA Davidson's positive outlook on the bank's net interest income.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that OSBC has maintained dividend payments for 9 consecutive years, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week high, which may reflect market confidence in the bank's recent performance and future prospects.
It's worth noting that while DA Davidson has raised its price target, InvestingPro data indicates that 2 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period. This contrasting view underscores the importance of considering multiple perspectives when evaluating investment opportunities.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips for OSBC, providing a broader picture of the company's financial health and market position.
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