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Nucor shares hold steady at Jefferies, weaker 4Q guidance weighs on outlook

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 22/10/2024, 13:18
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On Tuesday, Jefferies maintained a Hold rating on Nucor Corporation (NYSE:NUE) with a steady price target of $170.00, following the company's third-quarter earnings report. Nucor's third-quarter EBITDA reached $869 million, slightly above the consensus estimate of $863 million and surpassing Jefferies' own forecast of $845 million. The steel manufacturer also reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.49, topping their recently guided range of $1.30 to $1.40.

Nucor's free cash flow (FCF) saw a boost due to a release of working capital, which in turn led to capital returns that once again surpassed the company's stated goal of a minimum 40% earnings payout ratio. This financial performance demonstrates Nucor's ability to generate returns for its shareholders.

Despite these positive results, the company's fourth-quarter guidance was less optimistic than anticipated. This projection indicates potential challenges ahead and is expected to place short-term pressure on Nucor's stock.

The company's performance in the third quarter and its commitment to shareholder returns have been acknowledged, but the cautionary tone set by the fourth-quarter outlook suggests a tempered view from Jefferies. The Hold rating reflects a position of watchfulness amid the company's mixed financial signals.

In other recent news, Nucor Corporation reported a significant drop in its third-quarter profit, falling nearly 78% due to impairment charges on its steel products and raw materials segments.

Despite the overall decline, the company's earnings of $1.49 per share slightly surpassed the average analyst estimate of $1.47 per share, as compiled by LSEG. Concurrently, Nucor's revenue for the quarter also experienced a downturn, decreasing more than 15% to $7.44 billion, yet slightly exceeding the anticipated $7.28 billion.

In light of the challenging U.S. steel market and expected further sequential decline in net earnings for its steel mills and products segments for the fourth quarter, the steel producer has managed to outperform its own profitability expectations. On a similar note, Nucor Corporation's third-quarter earnings narrowly missed analyst expectations, while its revenue topped estimates, coming in at $7.44 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $7.29 billion.

The company anticipates decreased earnings in the fourth quarter due to lower average selling prices and decreased volumes in its steel mills segment. Additionally, Nucor expects lower earnings in its steel products segment due to lower prices and volumes.

InvestingPro Insights

Nucor Corporation's recent financial performance, as discussed in the article, can be further contextualized with some key metrics from InvestingPro. Despite the cautionary tone set by the fourth-quarter outlook, Nucor maintains a strong financial position. The company's P/E ratio of 10.89 (adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024) suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings. This aligns with an InvestingPro Tip indicating that Nucor's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield.

Moreover, Nucor's commitment to shareholder returns is underscored by two significant InvestingPro Tips: the company has maintained dividend payments for 52 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years. This long-standing dedication to dividends supports the article's mention of Nucor's ability to generate returns for shareholders, even as it faces potential near-term challenges.

While the article notes potential short-term pressure on Nucor's stock, it's worth considering that the company operates with a moderate level of debt and its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, according to InvestingPro Tips. These factors could provide Nucor with financial flexibility as it navigates the uncertainties highlighted in its fourth-quarter guidance.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips on Nucor, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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