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Norfolk Southern shares hold rating, target raised on earnings beat

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 23/10/2024, 15:16
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On Wednesday, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on shares of Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NYSE:NSC) and increased the stock's price target to $259 from $253. The decision followed the company's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed both the analyst's projections and the consensus estimates. Norfolk Southern's management has been actively reducing costs by parking locomotives and streamlining operations.

Despite a challenging start to the fourth quarter with revenue per unit (RPU) headwinds in the intermodal and coal sectors, the company's management reaffirmed its full-year margin guidance. This confirmation comes even after accounting for approximately $20 million in hurricane-related expenses.

The analyst from TD Cowen highlighted that Norfolk Southern's management is adhering to its long-term guidance, which indicates further potential for operational efficiency improvements in 2025. The upgraded price target to $259 reflects the analyst's view that there are more opportunities for the company to tighten its network and enhance profitability in the coming years.

Norfolk Southern's third-quarter performance demonstrated resilience in the face of external pressures, with the management's proactive measures helping to mitigate the impact of those challenges. The reaffirmation of the full-year margin guidance suggests confidence in the company's ability to maintain cost discipline and operational efficiency.

The adjustment in the price target is a response to the company's current financial performance and its strategic initiatives aimed at optimizing the network. While the Hold rating indicates that the analyst does not currently see Norfolk Southern as a stock to accumulate, the increase in the price target suggests a recognition of the company's solid execution and future potential.

Investors and market watchers will likely continue to monitor Norfolk Southern's performance closely, especially in regards to its ability to navigate the headwinds in the intermodal and coal segments while pursuing further cost reductions and operational improvements.

In other recent news, Norfolk Southern has been the center of attention for several financial firms following its strong third-quarter performance, which saw a 23% increase in adjusted earnings per share, hitting $3.25, and a 3% rise in revenue, totaling $3.05 billion.

Financial services firm Loop Capital nudged its price target for Norfolk Southern to $287, maintaining a Buy rating. Benchmark also increased its price target to $285, while Susquehanna raised its target to $285, and RBC Capital Markets upped its target to $282.

UBS went a step further, raising its stock price target to $309. These adjustments from the firms follow Norfolk Southern's recent earnings report, which exceeded market expectations, and reflect their confidence in the company's ongoing performance.

Amid these developments, Norfolk Southern's Chief Operating Officer, John Orr, was recognized for his leadership in advancing Positive Train Control implementation.

The company anticipates exceeding its goal of around $150 million in incremental annualized productivity gains for 2025, with potential to expedite some cost reductions planned for 2026.

Despite an expected quarter-over-quarter deterioration in the fourth quarter's operating ratio due to seasonal trends and cleanup costs, management remains confident in meeting the second half and full-year guidance. These are some of the recent developments at Norfolk Southern.

InvestingPro Insights

Norfolk Southern's recent performance and strategic initiatives align with several key insights from InvestingPro. The company's impressive gross profit margins, as highlighted by InvestingPro Tips, are reflected in the latest data showing a gross profit margin of 48.31% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This robust profitability supports management's ability to maintain their full-year margin guidance despite challenges.

The company's strong financial position is further underscored by its dividend history. InvestingPro Tips reveal that Norfolk Southern has raised its dividend for 7 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 43 consecutive years. This commitment to shareholder returns is evident in the current dividend yield of 2.07%.

While TD Cowen maintains a Hold rating, it is worth noting that Norfolk Southern's stock has shown significant momentum, with a 16.76% price total return over the past three months. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip indicating a strong return over the last three months.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Norfolk Southern, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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