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Needham maintains Buy on Personalis with $3.50 target

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 21/06/2024, 19:04
PSNL
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On Friday, Needham reaffirmed its Buy rating on Personalis Inc (NASDAQ:PSNL), maintaining a price target of $3.50. The endorsement follows a webinar hosted by Personalis, which showcased two separate studies presented at the American Society for Clinical Oncology (ASCO) 2024 Annual Meeting. The studies highlighted the efficacy of the NeXT Personal Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) assay in providing prognostic predictions and detecting early signs of relapse in breast cancer.

The NeXT Personal MRD assay was shown to offer significant advantages over both radiologic imaging and competing MRD assays in early-stage breast cancer. It demonstrated an ability to give a considerable lead time in the detection of cancer relapse. Furthermore, the assay's limit of detection was around 3.5 parts per million, and it successfully detected circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in 98% of the samples.

In addition to its application in breast cancer, the NeXT Personal assay was also presented as a monitoring tool for immunotherapy in metastatic cancers. The data indicated that the assay could prognosticate molecular responses to immunotherapy treatments, again with a significant lead time when compared to imaging techniques.

The promising results from these studies are seen as a positive development for Personalis. The company has plans to seek Medicare reimbursement for the use of NeXT Personal in early-stage breast and lung cancers, as well as in immunotherapy monitoring, within the year 2024. The potential for Medicare reimbursement is perceived as a key factor in the analyst's continued support for the stock at the set price target.

In other recent news, Personalis, Inc. reported a significant first quarter in 2024, with revenues reaching $19.5 million, exceeding their own expectations. The company has seen a 55% year-over-year growth in its biopharma business. Personalis is aiming for a revenue target of $100 million by 2025, bolstered by a partnership with Tempus to commercialize NeXT Personal Dx.

These recent developments also include an anticipated launch with Tempus this quarter and an expansion of its early access program. The company is engaged with top biopharma companies, including Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), and is building a strong intellectual property position with new patents.

However, Personalis has expressed caution regarding their 330 MRD test due to reimbursement concerns. The timeline for article submission and acceptance by collaborators is also uncertain, potentially impacting reimbursement applications. Despite these challenges, Personalis remains optimistic about the future, with plans to secure reimbursement approval for three or four indications this year.

InvestingPro Insights

As Personalis Inc (NASDAQ:PSNL) garners attention for its innovative NeXT Personal MRD assay, insights from InvestingPro underscore some financial metrics that investors may find pertinent. With a market cap of $65.7 million, Personalis is a smaller player in the biotech industry, yet it holds a noteworthy cash position relative to its debt, providing some financial stability. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 stands at $74.15 million, reflecting a growth of nearly 8%. This growth, however, has not translated into profitability, as the company's operating income margin was notably negative at -120.35% for the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that while analysts have revised earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting optimism, the company is rapidly burning through cash and the stock has experienced significant volatility and a substantial price decline over the last week and month. Additionally, the valuation multiple is low, which may attract investors looking for undervalued opportunities. It's worth noting that Personalis does not pay a dividend, which may influence the investment decisions of income-focused shareholders.

For investors intrigued by Personalis' scientific advancements and considering its financial outlook, further InvestingPro Tips are available, which can be accessed through the company-specific page on Investing.com. Interested readers can use coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, where they can explore over ten additional tips to inform their investment strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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