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Morgan Stanley raises Burlington Stores target to $300

Published 29/08/2024, 21:26
BURL
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On Thursday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) affirmed its positive stance on Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL), increasing the price target to $300 from the previous $284 while maintaining an Overweight rating. The retail chain's recent financial performance was highlighted as a continuation of its strategic progress, with the second quarter's results surpassing expectations.

The analyst noted that despite the forecasted success, the outcome still represented significant progress for Burlington's ongoing initiatives. This achievement is seen as particularly noteworthy given the company's past inconsistencies in performance. However, the analyst pointed out that the current valuation of the stock demands near-perfect execution for further growth, as evidenced by the stock's slight decline in percentage on the day of the announcement despite the positive financial report.

Burlington's long-term story was described as compelling, with two key opportunities outlined: the potential to regain pre-Covid margin levels and the possibility of closing the margin gap with competitors such as TJX Companies Inc (NYSE:TJX). and Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST), Inc. These factors, combined with the prospect of near-term positive earnings per share revisions and a strong value proposition, were cited as reasons to maintain an Overweight rating on the stock.

The company's position is considered advantageous, especially given the challenging retail environment anticipated for the second half of the year. The analyst's perspective suggests that Burlington's strategic efforts and value orientation may provide a buffer against broader sector difficulties.

In summary, Morgan Stanley's updated price target for Burlington Stores reflects confidence in the retailer's ability to continue its trajectory of strategic improvements and capitalize on its competitive advantages in a potentially difficult market period ahead.

In other recent news, Burlington Stores has been experiencing significant developments. The company's second quarter earnings report showcased an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.24, exceeding the average analyst estimate of $0.96.

This was largely driven by a 5% increase in same-store sales and an expansion in gross margin by 110 basis points to 42.8%. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) has responded to these promising results by raising Burlington's price target to $354.

In addition to these financial highlights, the company has also outlined its future expectations. Burlington's management revised its full-year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance upwards to $7.66-$7.96, expecting same-store sales growth of 2-3% and total sales growth of 9-10%.

For the third quarter, an adjusted EPS between $1.45-$1.55 is anticipated, based on a same-store sales growth of flat to 2% and an adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 60-80 basis points to 5.5% at the midpoint.

Lastly, Burlington Stores has reported a 13% growth in total sales for the second quarter, primarily driven by new store openings and a 5% increase in comparable store sales.

The company plans to open 100 net new stores this fiscal year and relocate around 30 existing stores. Despite potential challenges due to increased ocean freight costs, the company remains committed to its growth strategy, focusing on expanding within the U.S. market and modernizing its distribution network.

InvestingPro Insights

As Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) continues to impress with its strategic progress and financial performance, InvestingPro data and tips provide additional insights for investors considering the stock. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Burlington has a market capitalization of $16.91 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 45.13, which adjusts to 40.39 when considering the last twelve months as of Q1 2023. The company's revenue growth for the same period stands at a solid 11.74%, reflecting its upward trajectory.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating confidence in Burlington's near-term performance. The company is also trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued given its growth prospects. However, it is noted that the stock price movements are quite volatile, which could be a point of consideration for risk-averse investors.

For those seeking further analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/BURL, which delve deeper into Burlington's financial health and market position. With such insights, investors can make more informed decisions and potentially leverage Burlington's strategic initiatives and market opportunities.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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