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Morgan Stanley keeps Overweight on Nasdaq stock, sees 34% upside

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 17/06/2024, 10:58
NDAQ
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained its Overweight rating on Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ) with a price target of $80.00. The firm highlighted the expiration of the sponsor lock-up period for approximately 7% of shares, which could potentially lead to a clearing event that may relieve an existing overhang on the stock.

The analyst at Morgan Stanley pointed out the opportunity for compelling high single-digit top-line growth, driven by the company's ongoing business transformation. This potential for growth is not yet reflected in the stock's current price, according to the firm's analysis.

The expiration of the lock-up period means that previously restricted shares could be sold in the market, which might increase the stock's liquidity. This event is viewed by Morgan Stanley as a chance to clear any perceived risk related to the lock-up and could be favorable for the stock's performance.

With the business transformation that Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. is undergoing, Morgan Stanley sees a significant upside, estimating a 34% increase to reach the $80.00 price target. The firm's stance suggests confidence in the company's strategic initiatives and their expected contribution to revenue growth.

Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. is considered a top pick by Morgan Stanley, which underscores the firm's positive outlook on the stock's prospects. As the market processes the end of the sponsor lock-up period, investors may anticipate potential movements in the stock's trading dynamics.

In other recent news, Nasdaq has seen several significant developments. The company has been the subject of positive sentiment from analysts, with firms such as Morgan Stanley and Barclays (LON:BARC) Capital upgrading their ratings to "Overweight" and setting price targets of $80 and $76 respectively. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods also holds an "Outperform" rating with a target of $69. Analysts project double-digit EPS growth for Nasdaq, with estimates of $2.82 for FY1 and $3.18 for FY2.

In addition, Nasdaq is under investigation by EU antitrust authorities regarding its acquisition of European Energy Exchange's (EEX) European power trading and clearing operations. The inquiry centers on concerns of potential market dominance and increased prices due to product bundling.

Nasdaq also recently integrated a new artificial intelligence (AI) feature into its market surveillance technology to enhance the efficiency and quality of market abuse investigations. The AI, developed in collaboration with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Bedrock, is expected to reduce investigation time by 33%.

Job cuts have been announced at Nasdaq as part of a wider trend across North American firms. The extent of these reductions is not specified. Lastly, Argus has raised the price target on Nasdaq shares to $66 from $64, citing strong business fundamentals and potential growth from expanding data services and increased equity-related trading and ETF index revenues.

InvestingPro Insights

As Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ) with a bullish price target, the latest data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the company's financial health and market performance. Nasdaq's market capitalization stands at a robust $33.78 billion, and despite a slight revenue contraction of 0.31% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company has demonstrated a strong gross profit margin of 66.04%. Moreover, the firm's commitment to shareholder returns is evident, having raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years, with a 20.0% dividend growth in the last twelve months and a current yield of 1.64%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Nasdaq is trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 31.13, suggesting a premium valuation. Additionally, while analysts have revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period and anticipate a sales decline in the current year, they remain optimistic about the company's profitability. Nasdaq has been profitable over the last twelve months, and there is a prediction of continued profitability this year. For those considering a deeper analysis, there are more InvestingPro Tips available that provide insights into the company’s long-term performance, including a high return over the last decade.

For readers interested in a comprehensive investment analysis, using the coupon code PRONEWS24 will grant an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription to InvestingPro, where you can find a total of 8 InvestingPro Tips for Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. These tips could offer valuable guidance for investors evaluating the company's stock amidst its ongoing business transformation and the recent lock-up expiration event.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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