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Morgan Stanley downgrades Ivanhoe Mines stock, cites profit-taking after strong rally

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 21/06/2024, 10:10
IVPAF
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On Friday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its stance on Ivanhoe Mines (OTC:IVPAF) Ltd. (IVN:CN) (OTC: IVPAF), downgrading the stock from Overweight to Equalweight. The firm also increased the price target to Cdn$19.50, up from the previous Cdn$18.50.

The change in rating comes after Ivanhoe Mines experienced a substantial uptick in its share price, with the stock being one of the top performers in its sector. Year-to-date, the company's shares have seen an approximate 31% increase, and looking at the last twelve months, the shares have climbed around 39%.

Morgan Stanley's decision to downgrade reflects a strategy to secure profits after the stock's strong performance. The firm acknowledges that Ivanhoe Mines is poised for a sizeable EBITDA growth in the forthcoming years and also recognizes the company's significant potential for further exploration.

Despite the positive outlook for Ivanhoe Mines' financial growth and exploration prospects, Morgan Stanley suggests that the recent rally in the stock price has brought the risk-reward balance to a more neutral position, prompting the adjustment in their rating.

The new price target of Cdn$19.50 set by Morgan Stanley indicates a modest increase from the previous target, suggesting that while the firm sees limited upside potential from the current levels, it still acknowledges the value in the stock.

In other recent news, Ivanhoe Mines has reported a positive outlook in its first quarter 2024 earnings call, with a focus on advancements in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and plans for significant production growth at the Kamoa-Kakula joint venture.

The company reported a stable revenue of $618 million and has outlined a strategy to become debt-free. Despite initial challenges with power instability in the DRC, Ivanhoe Mines has taken steps to secure power from Zambia and Mozambique and is installing backup diesel generators.

The company expects to begin production at its Phase 3 concentrator in May, followed by the smelter in the fourth quarter of 2024. In addition, Ivanhoe Mines is ramping up exploration efforts, with a target to quadruple its drilling to 70,000 meters this year.

Plans for the Kamoa-Kakula mine expansion could make it the second-largest copper complex globally, aiming to reach over 20 million tonnes of milling. These are some of the recent developments in the company's operations.

InvestingPro Insights

As Morgan Stanley recalibrates its perspective on Ivanhoe Mines (IVPAF), investors may find it useful to consider additional financial metrics and analyst insights. With a market capitalization of approximately $16.88 billion and a high Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 97.02, Ivanhoe Mines trades at a significant earnings multiple. The company’s stock price has demonstrated considerable volatility, with a 34.49% return over the last six months, and a notable year-to-date price total return of 35.92%, aligning with Morgan Stanley's observations of the stock's robust performance.

While Ivanhoe Mines does not pay a dividend, which may influence investors seeking regular income, the company has been profitable over the last twelve months. Analysts anticipate Ivanhoe Mines will maintain profitability this year, which could be a reassuring factor for investors considering the company's growth potential. Additionally, the stock is trading close to the InvestingPro Fair Value estimate of $12.78, which might suggest the current price is reflective of its intrinsic value.

To further enrich your investment strategy, consider exploring the InvestingPro Tips for Ivanhoe Mines, which include insights on the company's gross profit margins and short-term liquidity challenges. For those looking to delve deeper into these analytics, there are 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive understanding of Ivanhoe Mines' financial health and market position. Remember, you can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, enhancing your investment toolkit with valuable data and expert analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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