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Morgan Stanley cuts JD.com shares target on updated cash flow outlook, buyback assumptions

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 19/04/2024, 14:32

On Friday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its price target for NASDAQ:JD (NASDAQ:JD) shares of e-commerce giant JD.com, Inc., reducing it to $25.00 from the previous $27.00. The firm has decided to maintain its Equalweight rating.

The adjustment follows JD.com's recent release of its 20F, a detailed financial statement required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for foreign companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges. Morgan Stanley's analysis included an update to JD.com's 2023 cash flow statements based on the new information provided in the 20F report.

In addition to the financial statement update, the firm incorporated assumptions regarding JD.com's future financial strategy. Specifically, it factored in the potential impact of an assumed $1 billion annual buyback program that JD.com may undertake going forward.

The revised price target of $25.00 reflects an 8.3 times multiple of JD.com's projected 2024 non-GAAP earnings per share (P/E). This valuation multiple is a common metric used by analysts to gauge the relative value of a company's stock price compared to its earnings.

Morgan Stanley's commentary indicates that despite the downward revision in the price target, their earnings estimates for JD.com remain unchanged. The new price target suggests a modest adjustment based on the updated cash flow projections and the anticipated share buyback program.

InvestingPro Insights

As JD.com navigates the competitive e-commerce landscape, recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to Morgan Stanley’s price target adjustment. The company’s market capitalization stands at $39.95 billion, with a forward-looking P/E ratio based on last twelve months as of Q4 2023 of 10.61, suggesting that the stock may be more attractively valued than the industry average. Additionally, JD.com’s strong free cash flow yield is implied by its PEG ratio of 0.09, reinforcing the firm's potential for growth relative to earnings.

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InvestingPro Tips highlight that JD.com holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, an indicator of financial resilience. Moreover, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, supported by a solid return over the last three months, with a price total return of 17.41%. These insights could be crucial for investors considering the stock’s future performance, especially in light of the potential share buyback program discussed by Morgan Stanley.

To delve deeper into JD.com's financial health and for more InvestingPro Tips—there are 9 additional tips available—interested readers can explore further with a subscription. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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