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MongoDB stock outlook brightens with price target increase, Overweight rating reaffirmed

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 30/08/2024, 13:58
MDB
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On Friday, Piper Sandler showed confidence in MongoDB , Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) by increasing its price target from $330.00 to $335.00, while keeping an Overweight rating on the stock. The adjustment follows MongoDB's reported quarterly earnings, which outperformed the company's guidance and signified a potential end to a two-year period of slowing growth.

The firm noted that MongoDB's second-quarter revenue growth of 13% surpassed the guidance of 9%, possibly indicating the lowest point of recent growth trends. This development could pave the way for accelerated growth into the next year. Despite the reported growth rate, the firm believes this figure doesn't fully represent the strong underlying demand for MongoDB's services.

Atlas (NYSE:ATCO), MongoDB's largest cloud database product, accounts for 71% of sales and is growing more than 30% after adjusting for unused credits. This growth rate is three times faster than the rest of the database industry. Piper Sandler anticipates that MongoDB's growth will normalize above 20% by the end of the next year, even without significant contributions from artificial intelligence, which represents an additional opportunity for upside.

The firm's outlook for MongoDB is bullish, citing the company as a high-quality and profitable growth compounder. It is positioned well within the modern cloud database market, benefiting from favorable secular trends. These advantages could potentially double the company's revenue to between $4 billion and $5 billion over the next three to five years.

The price target increase to $335 is based on raised estimates and a higher calendar year 2028 enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) multiple of 30 times, up from the previous 28 times. This revision reflects the firm's expectation of MongoDB's continued financial success and market performance.

In other recent news, MongoDB reported a 13% year-over-year revenue increase in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, hitting $478 million. This performance led Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) to maintain its Overweight rating and raise its price target for MongoDB to $350, up from the previous $300. Similarly, Mizuho increased its price target to $275 from $250, maintaining a Neutral rating on the company.

The positive adjustments can be attributed to MongoDB's strong performance, particularly from their Atlas and Enterprise Advanced (EA) products. The company also reported a non-GAAP operating income of $52.5 million and a non-GAAP operating margin of 11%. MongoDB's customer base grew to over 50,700, with more than 1,500 new customers added during the quarter.

MongoDB's management has revised its full-year guidance upward and expects Q3 revenue to be between $493 million to $497 million, with full fiscal year 2025 revenue projected to be between $1.92 billion to $1.93 billion.

InvestingPro Insights

Piper Sandler's recent price target uplift for MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) aligns with some of the positive indicators reflected in the company's financials and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, MongoDB has a robust revenue growth rate of 29.15% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, showcasing the company's ability to expand its sales significantly. This growth is complemented by a high gross profit margin of 74.52%, which underlines MongoDB's ability to maintain profitability in its core operations.

InvestingPro Tips further reinforce MongoDB's financial health, highlighting that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that its net income is expected to grow this year. Additionally, MongoDB's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing the company with a stable financial cushion. These factors, combined with analysts' predictions that MongoDB will become profitable this year, support the optimistic outlook presented by Piper Sandler.

While MongoDB does not pay a dividend, indicating a reinvestment strategy into growth and development, the company's market cap stands at a substantial $18.02 billion. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, there are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering a comprehensive view of MongoDB's financial standing and market potential. To explore these insights further, visit the dedicated InvestingPro page for MongoDB at https://www.investing.com/pro/MDB.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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