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Mizuho raises Watsco target to $480 based on "respactable results"

Published 31/07/2024, 18:12
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On Wednesday, Mizuho updated its assessment on Watsco (NYSE:WSO), a major distributor of heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration equipment, by increasing the stock's price target to $480 from the previous $430. The firm maintained its Neutral rating on the stock, despite acknowledging Watsco's respectable performance.

Watsco's recent financial results showed solid sales figures, particularly noting June as the strongest month with high single-digit average daily sales. The company's performance in July remained stable even in the face of a hurricane, and August is on a steady track as well. The transition to A2L refrigerant is progressing without issues, with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) prepared for production.

The analyst from Mizuho pointed out that consumer affordability measures are currently stringent, but there are no significant indications of customers opting for repairs over replacements. Additionally, the inventory levels are returning to normal. However, due to slower than expected gross margin (GM) progress, the estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 have been adjusted down to $14.00 from $14.10 and for 2025 to $15.30 from $15.40.

The decision to raise the price target to $480 is based on a lift in peer market multiples. Despite the adjustment in price target and the recognition of Watsco's steady performance, Mizuho continues to rate Watsco as Neutral, while holding an Outperform rating on its peer, Lennox International (NYSE:LII).

In other recent news, Watsco reported record sales in both residential and commercial markets during the second quarter, despite a 5% shortfall in earnings per share (EPS) forecast. This shortfall was primarily due to lower part and supply sales, but was largely offset by effective selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense management. In response to these developments, Loop Capital maintained its Hold rating on Watsco's stock and adjusted its price target from $415 to $440.

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InvestingPro Insights

Watsco's (NYSE:WSO) financial resilience is highlighted by its ability to maintain more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a reassuring sign for investors considering the company's financial stability. This is complemented by Watsco's impressive track record of raising its dividend for 10 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. Moreover, the company's strong cash flows, which can sufficiently cover interest payments, provide further evidence of its robust financial health.

In terms of market performance, Watsco's market capitalization stands at $18.39 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. While the company is trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 36.63, this could be indicative of the market's positive outlook on its growth prospects. Additionally, Watsco has a Price / Book ratio of 7.07, which suggests that investors may be willing to pay a premium for its assets.

For those looking to delve deeper into Watsco's financial metrics and gain more insights, InvestingPro offers a plethora of additional tips for a comprehensive analysis. Currently, there are 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed through the specialized platform for those who are interested in a more detailed investment evaluation.

With the next earnings date on October 17, 2024, investors will be keen to see if Watsco can maintain its profitability and continue its strong performance in returning value to shareholders. These InvestingPro Insights may help investors make more informed decisions as they assess the potential of Watsco's stock in their portfolios.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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