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Mizuho cuts Dayforce shares target amid cautious optimism for growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/07/2024, 12:12
DAY
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On Tuesday, Mizuho Securities adjusted its price target for Dayforce (NYSE: DAY) shares, a cloud-based human capital management software company, to $70 from the previous $80, while reaffirming an Outperform rating for the stock.

The firm anticipates that despite potential macroeconomic challenges, Dayforce is poised to benefit from the activation of significant enterprise agreements scheduled throughout the years 2024 and 2025.

The company is expected to experience over 20% year-over-year organic growth in recurring revenue from its Dayforce product. This growth is projected to be driven by a combination of factors, including the successful initiation of large-scale enterprise contracts, strategic cross-selling of an expanding product suite, a solid pipeline coverage ratio, and the establishment of wider system integrator (SI) partnerships.

These partnerships and growth strategies were highlighted during a technology conference that took place on June 12th. Furthermore, Dayforce's inaugural Investor Day, scheduled for November 12, is anticipated to be a significant event that could further influence the company's market performance.

Dayforce's strategy involves leveraging its comprehensive product offerings to entice new customers and expand its reach within the existing customer base. The robust pipeline coverage ratio indicates that the company has a healthy backlog of potential deals that could translate into future revenue streams.

The sustained focus on expanding SI partnerships is expected to enhance Dayforce's market penetration and facilitate the delivery of its services to a broader clientele. As these partnerships mature, they are likely to contribute to the company's growth and reinforce its position in the market.

In conclusion, Mizuho's revised price target reflects a cautious yet optimistic outlook for Dayforce, considering the firm's strategic initiatives and upcoming enterprise engagements. The company's focus on growth drivers and the upcoming Investor Day event are key elements that investors are likely to monitor closely in the coming months.

In other recent news, Dayforce has been the subject of various financial firms' assessments. Piper Sandler maintained its Neutral rating on Dayforce stock, emphasizing the company's growth opportunities alongside macroeconomic uncertainties. The firm continues to monitor Dayforce's performance in light of the broader economic environment.

Meanwhile, TD Cowen lowered its price target for Dayforce to $53, maintaining a Hold rating, while revising its revenue projections upwards for fiscal years 2024, 2025, and 2026. The firm also raised its adjusted EBITDA estimates for FY24 and FY26, and increased its free cash flow estimates for the same periods.

BMO Capital maintained a positive outlook on Dayforce, citing ambitious growth targets of $5 billion in revenue and $1 billion in free cash flow within an approximate seven-year period.

The firm kept its Outperform rating and a $75 price target. CFRA, however, downgraded Dayforce stock from Buy to Hold, citing concerns about a potential slowdown in revenue growth and high leverage.

Mizuho Securities adjusted its price target for Dayforce to $80, while reaffirming its Buy rating. The firm's FY24 recurring revenue forecast for Dayforce remains at $1,166 million, and it increased its total revenue projection to $1,733 million. These are the recent developments in the financial analysis of Dayforce.

InvestingPro Insights

As Dayforce (NYSE: DAY) navigates through a dynamic market landscape, its financial health and growth prospects become focal points for investors. According to the latest data from InvestingPro, Dayforce boasts a robust gross profit margin of 48.37% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, underscoring the company's efficient cost management and strong pricing power. This aligns with the strategic initiatives highlighted by Mizuho Securities, suggesting Dayforce's capability to maintain profitability amidst potential macroeconomic headwinds.

An InvestingPro Tip indicates that analysts predict Dayforce will be profitable this year, which is a testament to the company's solid business model and the anticipated activation of significant enterprise agreements. Additionally, the company's market capitalization stands at $8.48 billion, reflecting a substantial presence in the industry. Despite a high P/E ratio of 160.39, the PEG ratio of 0.68 suggests that the company's earnings growth could justify this valuation over time.

Investors might also take note of the company's revenue growth, which has been impressive at 18.97% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This metric resonates with the anticipated over 20% year-over-year organic growth in recurring revenue from its Dayforce product. For those seeking deeper insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that can provide further guidance on DAY's financial health and investment potential. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, and discover the full range of expert tips and analytics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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