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MindMed stock target trimmed, rating retained on dilution concerns

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 16/09/2024, 13:42
MNMD
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On Monday, Canaccord Genuity adjusted its price target for MindMed (NASDAQ:MNMD) shares, lowering it to $14.00 from the previous $16.00. The firm maintained its Buy rating on the biotech company's stock. The revision in the target price is attributed to the dilution resulting from a recent capital raise by the company.


The analyst at Canaccord Genuity also revised operating expense estimates to reflect increased activity in Phase 3 trials, including both Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD) and Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), whereas the previous estimates accounted for GAD only.


The firm continues to anticipate a potential U.S. launch of MindMed's MM-120 for the treatment of GAD in the year 2028. The financial model predicts peak market share and sales to reach 6% and $1.8 billion, respectively, by 2035. These projections are based on an unchanged 50% probability of MM-120 gaining approval for the treatment of GAD.


In the recent update, Canaccord Genuity has chosen not to include any potential revenue from Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) treatments in their financial model. This decision is pending further analysis by the firm to better understand the opportunity that MDD treatments may present.


MindMed is actively involved in the development of MM-120, a therapeutic candidate targeting GAD, a condition characterized by excessive, uncontrollable worry and anxiety. The company's progress in clinical trials and its potential market entry in the coming years are closely monitored by investors and analysts alike.


In other recent news, MindMed has seen a flurry of activity with significant developments. H.C. Wainwright has raised its price target for MindMed, citing the company's expansion of its leading drug candidate, MM120, into treating major depressive disorder (MDD). This adjustment comes on the heels of MindMed's announcement of a public offering expected to raise approximately $75 million for research and development among other corporate purposes.


Roth/MKM has also initiated a Buy rating for MindMed, following the FDA's recognition of MM120 with a breakthrough designation for treating general anxiety disorder. In addition, MindMed has secured a new patent for MM120, extending its intellectual property protection until 2041.


Furthermore, the company has initiated an at-the-market equity offering program to sell up to $150 million of its common shares, facilitated by Leerink Partners LLC. These recent developments highlight MindMed's proactive approach in expanding its pipeline, securing financial resources, and strengthening its strategic direction.


InvestingPro Insights


As MindMed (NASDAQ:MNMD) continues to navigate the complexities of clinical trials and market anticipation, recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. With a market capitalization of $525.23 million, MindMed holds a notable cash position that exceeds its debt, an InvestingPro Tip that suggests a degree of financial stability. This is particularly relevant given the company's active development of MM-120 and its capital-intensive Phase 3 trials.


Moreover, MindMed's stock has experienced a high return over the last year, with a 54.68% price total return, reflecting investor optimism. However, analysts have flagged concerns about the company's profitability, not expecting MindMed to be profitable this year. This aligns with the company's current P/E ratio of -3.13 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at -5.04, underscoring the challenges it faces on its path to potential commercial success.


Despite the volatility in stock price movements, four analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which may indicate a positive shift in expectations. For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on MindMed, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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