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Microsoft stock target raised to $485; Piper Sandler cites cloud revenue potential

Published 23/07/2024, 18:20
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On Tuesday, Piper Sandler showed a positive stance on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), raising the tech giant's price target to $485 from $465, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The adjustment reflects the firm's optimism about Microsoft's cloud revenue growth prospects.

The increase in the price target is backed by Microsoft's significant milestone of surpassing $100 billion in cloud services revenue between fiscal years 2010 and 2023, a period during which the company invested over $176 billion in capital expenditures and leases. Piper Sandler predicts that Microsoft could add the next $100 billion in cloud revenue within a much shorter timeframe, potentially just three years, suggesting a rapid acceleration in growth.

The firm's analysis suggests that Microsoft's cloud revenue could double to over $200 billion by the end of fiscal year 2026. This projection is based on the expectation that critical data center investments will compress, supporting the anticipated revenue growth.

The analyst from Piper Sandler highlighted the importance for growth investors to look beyond the current fears of an AI overbuild, focusing instead on the ongoing broader cloud transformation. This shift is expected to sustain Microsoft's double-digit growth in both top-line revenue and bottom-line results through 2030.

Furthermore, the firm anticipates that cloud services, bolstered by advancements in AI, will constitute a larger portion of Microsoft's business. It is projected that cloud-related revenue could increase to 63% of the company's total revenue by fiscal year 2026, up from 53% currently and a mere 10% in fiscal year 2016. This indicates a significant shift in Microsoft's revenue mix towards its cloud segment over the next few years.

In other recent news, Microsoft has been the subject of a recent analysis by Loop Capital, maintaining a $500 price target on the tech giant's stock. The firm expects solid fourth-quarter results and predicts a conservative guidance for the first quarter of the next fiscal year.

Loop Capital also anticipates a modest rise in Azure's growth rate and strong adoption of Microsoft 365 Copilot. In addition, the firm views Microsoft as a key player in the ongoing generative AI trend, which is expected to boost cloud migration.

In related developments, cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) has been under scrutiny due to a global outage caused by a flawed software update. The malfunction affected approximately 8.5 million devices running Microsoft's Windows operating system, leading to widespread disruptions across various industries. CrowdStrike CEO, George Kurtz, has been summoned by the U.S. House of Representatives Homeland Security Committee to provide testimony on the matter.

Investors are also eyeing the upcoming earnings reports from major technology companies, which could potentially influence market trends. Despite recent losses in the tech sector, positive numbers could reinforce the narrative of tech growth and profitability.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Piper Sandler's optimistic outlook on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), InvestingPro data provides a comprehensive financial perspective. Microsoft's market cap stands impressively at $3290.0 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the market. The company's P/E ratio is currently at 38.21, suggesting a premium valuation which aligns with Piper Sandler's positive sentiment. Additionally, the firm's solid revenue growth of 13.97% in the last twelve months as of Q3 2023 further supports the potential for rapid acceleration in cloud revenue growth that Piper Sandler anticipates.

Turning to InvestingPro Tips, it's noteworthy that Microsoft has raised its dividend for 18 consecutive years, underscoring a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Moreover, the company's cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments, indicating financial stability. These aspects are crucial for investors considering the long-term profitability and sustainability of Microsoft's growth trajectory, particularly as it continues to expand its cloud services. For more in-depth analysis and additional tips on Microsoft, investors can explore InvestingPro, which offers 16 more InvestingPro Tips. Be sure to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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