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Macy's price target cut to $19 from $21, retains hold rating

Published 16/07/2024, 20:22
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On Tuesday, Macy's (NYSE:M) experienced a revision in its stock outlook by TD Cowen, with the firm adjusting the retailer's price target down to $19.00 from the previous $21.00. Despite this change, the firm maintained a Hold rating on the company's shares. The adjustment came after the stock closed down 12% on Monday, a reaction to Macy's management rejecting an acquisition offer from Arkhouse & Brigade. This decision ended a seven-month period of consideration that began in December 2023.

The company's focus now shifts back to its "Bold New Chapter Strategy," which aims to generate positive comparable sales in the second half of 2024. The analyst from TD Cowen expressed caution, choosing to remain on the sidelines due to the uncertainties surrounding the execution of Macy's strategy and the timeline for a potential turnaround.

The decline in the stock's price target reflects the market's response to the recent developments and the company's decision to continue independently rather than accepting the buyout offer. Macy's management's choice to stick with their strategic plan indicates their confidence in the company's direction and potential for future growth.

Macy's is now tasked with proving the effectiveness of its strategy to investors. The retailer's ability to drive a positive comparable sales figure in the latter half of 2024 will be a critical factor in regaining market confidence. The current hold rating suggests that analysts are waiting for more evidence of progress before changing their stance on the stock.

In other recent news, Macy's has experienced several significant developments. Evercore ISI has revised Macy's price target down from $22 to $17, maintaining an In Line rating on the stock. This adjustment is due to an acceleration in market share decline, despite the strong performance of Macy's "First 50" stores. The firm's projections for Macy's in 2024 include an EBIT margin of only 5%, suggesting a challenging outlook.

On the executive front, Macy's has appointed Keith Credendino as the new Chief Information Officer (CIO), following Laura Miller's retirement. Credendino's previous contributions to the company include improving in-store and online customer experiences, launching digital marketplaces, and leading the modernization of checkout processes.

In financial updates, Macy's reported robust Q1 results, with net sales of $4.8 billion and an adjusted EPS of $0.27, surpassing its forecast. Consequently, Macy's raised its EPS guidance for fiscal year 2024 to a range of $2.55 to $2.90, representing a 3% increase at the midpoint. However, the gross margin forecast for the fiscal year was adjusted downward, reflecting a more conservative expectation for profit margins.

Investment firms Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management have increased their takeover offer for Macy's to approximately $6.9 billion, reflecting their continued interest in acquiring the retailer. Meanwhile, analyst firms have offered mixed views. TD Cowen raised its price target for Macy's shares to $21.00, while UBS maintained its Sell rating with a steady price target of $10.00. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) increased its price target to $27.00, maintaining an Overweight rating.

InvestingPro Insights

As Macy's (NYSE:M) navigates through its "Bold New Chapter Strategy," investors are keeping a keen eye on the retailer's financial performance and stock behavior. According to InvestingPro, Macy's has a market capitalization of $4.68 billion, indicating its substantial presence in the retail industry. Despite recent stock price volatility, with a 10.7% decline over the past week, the company is still considered a prominent player in the Broadline Retail sector. This is a critical aspect for investors who value industry leadership and stability.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Macy's is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 384.55, which could signal that the stock is currently valued on the higher end based on earnings. However, the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2025 is much lower, at 5.19, possibly reflecting a more favorable earnings outlook. Additionally, Macy's has shown a commitment to returning value to shareholders, maintaining dividend payments for 22 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 4.12%.

For investors considering Macy's stock, it's worth noting that there are more InvestingPro Tips available, offering deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position. To explore further, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/M and don't forget to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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