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Macquarie cuts Caesars stock target, keeps Outperform rating

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 31/07/2024, 17:04
CZR
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On Wednesday, Macquarie maintained its Outperform rating on shares of Caesars (NASDAQ:CZR) Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR) but reduced the price target from $55.00 to $52.00.

The firm forecasts a significant increase in free cash flow (FCF) per share for Caesars by the year 2025, anticipating approximately $5.57 of FCF/share. This expectation is based on the premise that 2024 will serve as a pivotal year for the company, particularly for its digital profitability, as it moves past heavy capital expenditure projects.

The firm acknowledges concerns regarding Caesars' leverage and growth prospects in Las Vegas and regional markets but expresses confidence in the company's strong position in Las Vegas. Analysts expect Caesars' narrative to be predominantly influenced by its capacity to enhance its digital market share and profitability.

The analysis by Macquarie also highlights Caesars Entertainment's competitive edge in the digital space, attributing it to the company's extensive customer database, relatively low marketing and promotional intensity, and advancements in technology. According to the firm, these factors contribute to an attractive risk/reward profile for Caesars in the digital arena.

Despite the positive outlook on the company's digital strategy, Caesars' shares have experienced a decline, with a year-to-date performance showing a 21% decrease, in contrast to the S&P 500's 14% increase. The adjusted price target reflects a more conservative valuation amidst the current market dynamics.

In other recent news, Caesars Entertainment faced challenges in its first quarter of 2024, with a slight dip in consolidated net revenues to $2.7 billion and a 10% decrease in adjusted EBITDAR to $853 million. Despite this, the company has seen growth in digital gaming and improved regional segment performance.

In light of these developments, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating on Caesars, highlighting robust fundamentals and confidence in the current management team. Meanwhile, Raymond James initiated coverage with a strong buy rating, anticipating performance improvement and digital growth.

However, CFRA revised its price target for Caesars to $37.00, maintaining a Hold rating due to concerns over high leverage. Notably, activist investor Carl Icahn has acquired a significant stake in Caesars, interpreted by TD Cowen as a positive sign of his belief in the company's underlying fundamentals.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro offers a nuanced perspective on Caesars Entertainment's (NASDAQ:CZR) market performance and financial health. With a market capitalization of $8.84 billion and a notable gross profit margin of 52.64% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Caesars demonstrates robust profitability in its operations. However, investors should be aware of the company's P/E ratio which stands at -31.71, indicating market skepticism about future earnings.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the company's significant return over the last week of 7.86%, reflecting short-term investor optimism. Additionally, while Caesars does not pay a dividend, analysts on InvestingPro predict the company will be profitable this year, which could be a pivotal factor for investors considering the stock.

For those looking to delve deeper into Caesars' financials and performance metrics, InvestingPro features a wealth of additional tips, including insights into net income projections and stock price volatility. Interested investors can find more details on https://www.investing.com/pro/CZR.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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