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Lowe's stock PT cut by RBC Capital as comp sales estimates are revised downward

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 21/08/2024, 15:10
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On Wednesday, RBC Capital adjusted its outlook on Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:LOW), reducing the home improvement retailer's price target to $238 from $245, while keeping a Sector Perform rating on the stock. The firm cited a continuation of comparable sales softness and a revision of guidance as anticipated factors influencing the decision.

The report from RBC Capital reflects an anticipation of a sideways trading pattern for Lowe's shares until there is greater clarity on comparable sales. The analyst noted that while the fiscal year 2025 might present a more favorable interest rate environment, the current uncertainty regarding consumer spending duration could cause investor hesitation.

For the fiscal years 2024 and 2025, RBC Capital has revised its comparable sales estimates for Lowe's to a decrease of 4.0% and 0.4%, respectively. This marks a change from previous estimates of a 3.2% decrease and a 0.1% increase. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates have also been modified, now set at $11.77 for FY24 and $12.55 for FY25, down from earlier projections of $12.07 and $12.92.

The new price target is based on approximately 19 times the firm's revised FY25 EPS estimate of $12.55. RBC Capital's assessment reflects a cautious approach towards Lowe's financial performance amidst a challenging retail environment. The firm will continue to monitor the company's performance for any signs of improvement in comparable sales that could potentially influence investor sentiment.

In other recent news, Lowe's Companies Inc. has had some noteworthy developments. The company reported Q2 financial results, revealing sales of $23.6 billion and a 5.1% decline in comparable sales year-over-year. Despite challenges in the DIY segment and unfavorable weather conditions, Lowe's saw growth in its professional customer base and online sales. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.10 exceeded the estimate of $4.00 set by analysts.

Both BofA Securities and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) have adjusted their price targets for Lowe's, with BofA reducing it to $275 from $280 and Wells Fargo lowering it to $280 from $290. Despite this, both firms maintain a positive outlook on the stock, with BofA maintaining a Buy rating and Wells Fargo keeping an Overweight rating.

Lowe's has been leveraging its Total Home strategy, technological advancements, and strategic partnerships with companies like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW), and Uber (NYSE:UBER) Eats to drive growth. The company remains committed to a 35% dividend payout ratio and share repurchases as part of its capital allocation priorities.

Looking ahead, Lowe's anticipates better comparable sales in Q3 and Q4, with operating margin rates expected to be in line with the previous year.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of RBC Capital's recent adjustments to Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: LOW) outlook, InvestingPro data reveals additional metrics that may interest investors. Despite the softness in comparable sales and the revised guidance, Lowe's maintains a strong market capitalization of $136.51 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the retail sector. With a low P/E ratio of 20.17 and an even lower adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2025 at 19.16, the company shows potential for investment value relative to earnings.

Furthermore, Lowe's exhibits a dividend yield of 1.91%, which, coupled with a dividend growth of 9.52% in the same period, suggests a commitment to returning value to shareholders. These figures are complemented by a solid return on assets at 15.82%, indicating efficient management of company assets to generate profits.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the importance of considering these metrics, especially the PEG ratio of 0.91 as of Q1 2025, which suggests that the company's stock might be undervalued based on expected growth rates. Additionally, with 22 more tips available on InvestingPro, investors can gain deeper insights into Lowe's financial health and make more informed decisions.

It's also noteworthy that the analyst's fair value estimation of $252 contrasts with the InvestingPro fair value of $224.52, providing a range for investors to consider when evaluating the stock's potential. As the next earnings date approaches on August 20, 2024, these insights from InvestingPro may prove valuable for investors tracking Lowe's performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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