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Loop Capital lifts Shake Shack stock price target by $13 on strong Q1 earnings

Published 03/05/2024, 15:34
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On Friday, Loop Capital maintained its Buy rating on Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) and increased the price target to $108 from $95 following the company's first-quarter earnings report.

Shake Shack posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13, surpassing both Loop Capital's projection of $0.04 and the consensus estimate of $0.10. The company's consolidated EBITDA for the quarter was $33.5 million, falling between Loop Capital's forecast of $30.2 million and the consensus of $35.0 million.

The fast-casual restaurant chain experienced a 1.6% growth in comparable sales during the first quarter, which was slightly ahead of Loop Capital's prediction of 1.5% but marginally below the consensus of a 1.9% increase. Shake Shack's total revenues for the quarter reached $291 million, marking a 14.7% year-over-year increase. This figure was a bit higher than Loop Capital's estimate of $289 million and matched the consensus figure.

The firm's decision to raise the price target to $108 is based on a valuation of 30 times the 2024 estimated enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA). The analyst's commentary indicated that the new price target reflects the company's performance and future earnings potential.

Despite the positive earnings report and the raised price target, Loop Capital chose to maintain a Hold rating on Shake Shack's stock. This suggests that while the firm acknowledges the company's strong performance in the first quarter, it advises caution before making further investment decisions. The analyst's comments highlight the company's solid quarterly earnings and revenue growth, which contributed to the decision to increase the price target.

InvestingPro Insights

Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) recent earnings report has placed the spotlight on its financial performance and growth potential. According to InvestingPro data, Shake Shack's market capitalization stands at a robust $4.58 billion, with a significant revenue growth of 18.35% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This growth is indicative of the company's ability to expand its operations and increase its market share in the competitive fast-casual dining sector.

The company's stock has been trading near its 52-week high, with the price at 97.97% of this peak. This aligns with Loop Capital's increased price target to $108, reflecting a bullish outlook on the stock's future trajectory. Notably, Shake Shack's Price / Book ratio is relatively high at 9.98, which could suggest that the market is pricing in optimistic growth prospects and a strong brand value.

InvestingPro Tips for Shake Shack highlight a high return over the last year, with a 98.67% increase, and a strong return over the last three months, at 35.41%. These metrics underscore the company's recent momentum and could be a signal for investors considering the stock's potential for continued growth. Additionally, analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which is supported by the fact that Shake Shack has been profitable over the last twelve months, with an operating income of $15.36 million.

For those interested in a deeper dive into Shake Shack's financial health and future outlook, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive list of 14 additional InvestingPro Tips. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription to access these valuable insights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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