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Kroger keeps stock target, Buy rating held on strong Q1 results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 21/06/2024, 17:26
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On Friday, BofA Securities maintained a positive outlook on Kroger Co (NYSE:KR), reiterating a Buy rating with a steady price target of $70.00. The supermarket chain reported first-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43, surpassing the anticipated $1.34. Kroger's identical store sales, excluding fuel, modestly grew by 0.5%, defying the expected 0.3% decline, with digital sales marking an 8% year-over-year increase.

Kroger experienced a rise in the number of total and loyal households as well as customer visits in the first quarter. This uptick is attributed to the company's efforts to offer competitive pricing and personalized promotions. Despite facing challenges in pharmacy margins and investing in pricing, the company managed to mitigate some of the impact through a favorable product mix, particularly with the strength of its own brands.

The company's FIFO (first-in, first-out) gross margin, excluding fuel, saw a slight decrease of 7 basis points year-over-year. This was due to the aforementioned pharmacy margin pressures and investments in competitive pricing. However, these were partially balanced by the favorable product mix.

Operating, general, and administrative (OG&A) costs, adjusted and excluding fuel, rose by 22 basis points compared to the same period last year. This increase was driven by planned wage investments and higher incentive costs. Nevertheless, Kroger's continued execution of cost-saving initiatives helped offset some of these additional expenses.

Kroger's financial performance in the first quarter demonstrates the company's ability to attract and retain customers through strategic pricing and promotions, even as it makes investments in its workforce and contends with margin pressures in its pharmacy business. The company's commitment to cost savings and efficient operations continues to support its financial health amid a challenging retail environment.

In other recent news, Kroger Co. surpassed Wall Street's Q1 same-store sales expectations, showing a 0.5% increase in identical sales, excluding fuel, during the quarter. This growth was driven by a rise in shoppers seeking budget-friendly grocery options due to persistent inflation. Moreover, Kroger continues to maintain its outlook for full-year same-store sales and adjusted profit, suggesting a steady performance outlook for the remainder of the year.

The company's proposed $24.6 billion acquisition of competitor Albertsons (NYSE:ACI) is under antitrust scrutiny, with an amended agreement to sell an additional 166 stores to C&S Wholesale Grocers to address these concerns.

Analysts have been closely monitoring Kroger's performance and future prospects. Evercore ISI and Telsey Advisory Group both reiterated an Outperform rating for Kroger, with Evercore ISI setting a price target of $60.00 and Telsey a target of $62.00. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) upgraded Kroger's stock to Overweight and raised the price target to $65.00.

These recent developments reflect a cautiously optimistic outlook for Kroger's strategic positioning in the food retail market, focusing on alternative revenue streams and potential share repurchases.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BofA Securities' optimistic stance on Kroger Co (NYSE:KR), InvestingPro data and tips further illuminate the company's financial health and market position. With a solid market capitalization of 36.29 billion USD, Kroger's P/E ratio stands at a favorable 17.56, reflecting investor confidence in its earnings capacity.

Furthermore, the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months, as of Q4 2024, has been steady at 1.2%, with a notable quarterly increase of 6.44% in Q4 2024. This aligns with Kroger's reported increase in customer visits and digital sales growth.

Two key InvestingPro Tips highlight Kroger's reliability and potential for investors: firstly, the company has raised its dividend for 18 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to shareholder returns. Secondly, Kroger is a prominent player in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, which may offer a degree of stability in volatile market conditions. Moreover, the company has maintained dividend payments for 19 consecutive years, reinforcing its status as a dependable investment.

For those looking to delve deeper into Kroger's financial metrics and strategic insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips to guide investment decisions. By using the exclusive coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking a wealth of expert analysis and data.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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