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JPMorgan maintains stock target on Apple, cites AI upgrade cycle

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 02/08/2024, 11:02
© Reuters.
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On Friday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) reaffirmed its confidence in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) shares by maintaining an Overweight rating and a $265.00 price target on the tech giant's shares. The firm highlighted Apple's strong performance amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment, with the company surpassing consensus expectations across most product categories.

Apple's recent quarter was described as "non-eventful" in a positive sense, with the company beating estimates and demonstrating solid execution. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the mixed results reported by other hardware companies.

The analyst pointed out that Apple's guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2024, ending in September, projects a year-over-year growth of 5%, which is above the consensus expectations of 4%. This outlook includes the anticipated impact of the new iPhone 16, which is expected to ship only a few days within the quarter.

The company is gearing up for what is referred to as the AI upgrade cycle, which will commence with the launch of the iPhone 16 and the release of AI features in iOS 18, iPadOS 18, and macOS Sequoia. Apple plans to introduce Apple Intelligence features gradually to English-speaking regions throughout the remainder of the year, with international rollouts planned within the same product cycle.

The report notes improvements in iPhone sales, which showed a 1% year-over-year decline, an improvement compared to the 10% drop in the second fiscal quarter of 2024. Services revenue also beat expectations with a 14% year-over-year increase. The decline in sales in Greater China was lower than in previous quarters, suggesting a recovery in consumer demand.

In conclusion, JPMorgan's analyst sees the AI-led upgrade cycle as a potentially broader opportunity for Apple than the previous 5G cycle, considering it extends across all devices, including iPhones, iPads, and Macs. The firm maintains its December 2025 price target of $265 and reiterates its Overweight rating, reflecting continued optimism for Apple's stock performance.

In other recent news, Apple Inc. has been the focus of multiple analyst updates, following the company's strong performance in the third fiscal quarter of 2024. JPMorgan reaffirmed its confidence in Apple by maintaining an Overweight rating and a $265.00 price target. The firm highlighted the company's robust performance, surpassing consensus expectations across most product categories, and projecting year-over-year growth of 5% for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2024.

Citi increased its price target for Apple to $255.00, up from the previous $210.00, while retaining a Buy rating. The adjustment followed Apple's recent financial results, which surpassed expectations with a forecast of $94 billion in sales and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.59 for the September quarter. Additionally, DA Davidson raised its price target on Apple's shares to $260 from the previous $230, reflecting the firm's response to Apple's third-quarter results.

Apple's focus on artificial intelligence (AI) with the launch of the iPhone 16 and the release of AI features in iOS 18, iPadOS 18, and macOS Sequoia has been a significant point of interest. However, despite these positive developments, Apple's sales in China fell by a steeper-than-expected 6.5%, which is notable as China represents a fifth of Apple's total revenue.

These are recent developments, and the company continues to navigate through regulatory challenges, including probes in the European Union under the Digital Markets Act and accusations from the U.S. Department of Justice of monopolizing the smartphone market.

InvestingPro Insights

As Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) continues to navigate the complex macroeconomic landscape, real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors considering JPMorgan's confident stance. Apple's market capitalization stands at a robust $3.35 trillion, underscoring its significant presence in the market. The company's Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio is at 33.7, indicating a premium valuation that investors are willing to pay for its earnings, possibly reflecting its consistent performance and market position.

Notably, Apple has demonstrated a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, having raised its dividend for 13 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 0.46%. This is complemented by a positive return on assets of 29.99% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting efficient asset utilization. Moreover, the company's stock has seen a significant 26.37% price total return over the last three months, suggesting robust investor confidence in its short-term prospects.

InvestingPro Tips for Apple reveal that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential optimism regarding the company's financial outlook. Moreover, Apple is recognized as a prominent player in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry, which may further solidify investor confidence. For those seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Apple, available at Investing.com/pro/AAPL.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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