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JPMorgan lifts Rapid7 shares price target on stable outlook

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 07/08/2024, 11:22
RPD
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) adjusted its outlook on Rapid7 (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RPD), increasing the price target to $40 from the previous $39, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm noted that Rapid7's revenue exceeded consensus expectations, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) meeting forecasts.

Additionally, the company's profitability and free cash flow (FCF) were significantly better than anticipated.

Rapid7's recent performance has been bolstered by its channel investments, which are showing signs of momentum following the launch of its Command Platform. The platform is the updated version of Cloud Risk Complete, which had been expected by the market.

Despite the positive quarter, the company's guidance remained cautious. Although full-year revenue guidance was increased slightly, operating income guidance was reiterated, even with improved operating margins.

The company did, however, reduce its full-year FCF guidance due to expenses related to the acquisition of Noetic.

The demand for Rapid7's consolidated threat complete offerings was particularly strong, accounting for over 40% of new ARR in the quarter. The general availability of the Command Platform is anticipated to enhance the company's traction as it aims to prioritize more efficient asset coverage within its customer base. This is expected to optimize the use of its AI-powered analytics platform.

Rapid7 has also shown progress in its partner ecosystem investments, as evidenced by a 15% year-over-year growth in the sales pipeline generated through strategic partners. JPMorgan expressed optimism about the early signs of stabilization and is looking for indicators of better sustainable execution.

Rapid7 has seen a flurry of activity with the acquisition of Noetic Cyber, annual shareholders meeting results, and a series of stock outlook adjustments. Rapid7's acquisition of Noetic Cyber, a leader in cyber asset attack surface management, is expected to enhance the company's security operations platform. Scotiabank, maintaining its Sector Perform rating on Rapid7, views this acquisition as strategic and complementary to Rapid7's offerings.

At Rapid7's annual shareholders meeting, all proposals were approved, including the election of eight director nominees, executive compensation, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the company's independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024. This approval signifies shareholder confidence in the company's governance and executive leadership.

Following Rapid7's Q1 2024 performance, several firms, including Mizuho Securities, Canaccord Genuity, Piper Sandler, RBC Capital Markets, and UBS, adjusted their stock outlook for the company.

Despite a lower-than-expected Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), leading to a revision in its 2024 guidance, these firms maintain neutral to positive ratings on the stock, acknowledging Rapid7's strong position in the SecOps and Vulnerability Management markets. These recent developments highlight the ongoing dynamics surrounding Rapid7.

InvestingPro Insights

As Rapid7 (NASDAQ:RPD) navigates through its recent developments and market challenges, InvestingPro data provides a deeper dive into the company's financial health and stock performance. With a market capitalization of $2.06 billion, the company's valuation reflects investor sentiment and market trends. Despite the challenges, analysts are optimistic about Rapid7's income prospects, predicting that the company will become profitable this year, aligning with JPMorgan's neutral stance but increased price target.

Moreover, the company's stock appears to be in oversold territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting that there might be potential for a rebound. This complements JPMorgan's observation of Rapid7's revenue outperformance and the strategic momentum gained through investments in its channel and partner ecosystem. Additionally, with a gross profit margin of 70.71% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company's ability to retain a significant portion of its revenue as gross profit stands out, despite the stock trading near its 52-week low and experiencing significant price drops over the last three and six months.

For investors seeking a comprehensive analysis of Rapid7, InvestingPro offers additional tips, providing a holistic view of the company's financials and market position. These insights, including the full list of 12 InvestingPro Tips, are available on the InvestingPro platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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