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JPMorgan downgrades Telus International stock on weak revenue outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 17/07/2024, 09:08
TIXT
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On Wednesday, Telus (NYSE:TU) International (NYSE:TIXT) experienced a downgrade in its stock rating by JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) from Neutral to Underweight. The firm also set a new price target for the company at $7.00.

The revision follows Telus International's recent quarterly financial performance, where it fell short of the consensus revenue expectations by 2.7%. Despite this, the company has maintained its guidance for fiscal year 2024.

To achieve its FY24 revenue goals, Telus International would need to grow its second to fourth-quarter revenue at a rate of 4-6% sequentially, a feat it last accomplished in 2021. This previous success was partly due to a cyclical upturn that boosted growth rates across the industry.

The company's strategy for meeting its current targets hinges on several factors: the successful onboarding of new clients, a broader recovery in demand, stabilization of a major social media client, and continued robust growth with key accounts such as TELUS and Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL).

JPMorgan's stance remains cautious, as there has been no incremental evidence to suggest a rebound in demand since the first-quarter earnings season. This caution is compounded by the company's slim margin for error as it faces margin pressures from weak revenue, which have been somewhat obscured by non-recurring provisions related to business combinations. With the stock's year-to-date performance already showing a 25% decline, the analyst sees an unfavorable risk/reward scenario for Telus International.

The firm has also placed Telus International on a Negative Catalyst Watch in anticipation of the company's upcoming earnings report on August 2. JPMorgan indicates that there is a downside risk to the 2024 estimates and guidance for Telus International, given the reliance on macroeconomic improvements that have yet to materialize.

In other recent news, Telus International, a global provider of IT services, has seen several adjustments to its stock price target by various financial firms. BMO Capital cut its target from $9.50 to $7.50, maintaining a Market Perform rating, following the company's recent quarterly financial results which showed lower than expected revenue but higher profits.

RBC Capital also reduced its target to $10 from $11, despite an Outperform rating, after Telus International reported first-quarter 2024 earnings with revenues that fell short of estimates.

BMO Capital Markets further adjusted the price target to $9.50 from $10.50 due to broader concerns about the IT services sector, while Baird reduced the target to $9.00 from $10.00, citing potential revenue shortfall and increasing debt levels.

These adjustments reflect recent developments in Telus International's performance and market conditions. The company's guidance suggests significant growth throughout the year, though analysts have raised concerns about the aggressive growth trajectory and weak client growth excluding major clients.

Despite an earnings miss and a reduction in the price target, RBC Capital maintains a positive outlook on Telus International, while Baird's neutral stance is based on the balanced risk/reward profile for the company.

InvestingPro Insights

As Telus International (NYSE:TIXT) navigates through its recent downgrade by JPMorgan, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a deeper insight into the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $1.81 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio that has adjusted to 17.93 from the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company presents a mixed picture to potential investors. The revenue growth for the same period stands at a modest 4.85%, reflecting the challenges and the growth potential that the company is currently experiencing.

InvestingPro Tips highlight a high shareholder yield and the expectation of net income growth this year for Telus International. These factors could be pivotal for investors looking for long-term value. Additionally, the company's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield, which is a positive sign for investors focused on the financial stability and cash-generating ability of the company. However, it's important to note that the stock is in overbought territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the price has seen a significant drop over the last three months.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at InvestingPro. To explore these insights and make informed decisions, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. With the upcoming earnings report on August 2, these insights could provide valuable context for the company's future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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