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JPMorgan cuts Adient stock price target on revised company outlook

Published 07/05/2024, 12:56
ADNT
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On Tuesday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) adjusted its outlook on Adient (NYSE:ADNT), a leading automotive seating supplier, by lowering its price target from $37.00 to $32.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. This decision follows Adient's recent announcement on Friday that it has revised its full-year revenue, earnings, and cash flow forecasts due to several challenges.

Adient's second fiscal quarter results were reported to align with expectations, yet the company has faced headwinds such as an adverse customer and program mix, issues with customer launches, and an overexposure to electric vehicle production, which has not met expectations. Despite these obstacles, Adient demonstrated solid execution, with cost-saving initiatives helping to mitigate the impact of lower sales on margins.

The company's first fiscal quarter revenue for 2024 was recorded at $3.75 billion, slightly below the $3.871 billion anticipated by JPMorgan and the $3.782 billion consensus among Bloomberg analysts. However, Adient's EBITDA for the quarter stood at $227 million, surpassing both JPMorgan's estimate of $216 million and the consensus of $206 million. This was attributed to a higher than expected margin of 6.1%, compared to the anticipated 5.6% by JPMorgan and 5.4% by consensus.

Year-over-year, Adient saw a 60 basis point expansion in EBITDA margin during the second fiscal quarter, reflecting improved business performance and net commodity tailwinds, which were partly offset by lower volume and mix as well as negative currency effects. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $0.54, exceeding both the $0.48 JPMorgan estimate and the $0.40 market consensus.

Looking ahead, Adient has reduced its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $14.8 billion to $14.9 billion, down from the previous forecast of $15.4 billion to $15.5 billion. This adjustment is largely due to the underperformance of key customers and programs, particularly noting Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p)'s performance in China compared to domestic Chinese automakers. Despite increasing its engagement with domestic Chinese automakers for future business, Adient is still experiencing current headwinds.

Additionally, Adient's shift towards supplying seating for electric vehicles, which was once seen as a positive move by investors, has now contributed to the weaker full-year revenue projection. The revised EBITDA forecast for the full year is now set at $900 million to $920 million, significantly below the initial guidance of approximately $985 million. This is despite the company having already announced a restructuring program in Europe to help offset costs.

InvestingPro Insights

As Adient (NYSE:ADNT) navigates through its recent challenges and revised forecasts, insights from InvestingPro provide a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position. The management's active share buyback program indicates confidence in the company's intrinsic value, while analysts have expressed caution by revising earnings downwards for the upcoming period. Additionally, Adient's stock is trading at a low revenue valuation multiple, which could attract investors looking for undervalued opportunities.

Key InvestingPro Data metrics reveal that Adient's market capitalization stands at $2.53 billion, with a P/E ratio of 16.43, which adjusts to a more attractive 10.48 based on the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This suggests that the company is trading at a lower price relative to its earnings power. Despite a modest revenue growth of 3.04% over the last twelve months, the company has been grappling with a gross profit margin of 6.57%, reflecting the weak gross profit margins highlighted in the InvestingPro Tips.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, there are 6 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be explored for further strategic insights. To access these tips and more detailed metrics, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/ADNT. If you find the InvestingPro platform valuable, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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