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JMP Securities reaffirms Peloton's stock rating amid cost discipline focus

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 02/07/2024, 11:26
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Tuesday, JMP Securities reiterated a Market Perform rating on Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) stock, highlighting the company's increased cost discipline and management changes.

The firm adjusted its financial model for Peloton following the company's recent debt refinancing and observed signs that Peloton is tightening its spending. This comes after Peloton's former CEO Barry McCarthy stepped down last quarter and the company underwent a refinancing of its debt.

The firm noted that Peloton is optimizing for profitability and expects the company to support a double-digit EBITDA margin. This expectation is based on Peloton's substantial subscription revenue, which stands at $1.7 billion.

Despite a best-in-class connected fitness experience and a dominant share of website visits and search interest, the firm does not see a significant uptick in demand for Peloton's offerings.

As a result of these observations and expectations for reduced marketing expenditure, JMP Securities has lowered its revenue estimates for Peloton for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026. However, the firm increased its EBITDA estimates for the same period.

The analyst from JMP Securities believes that while Peloton continues to lead in its market segment, the anticipated lower revenue has led to the decision to maintain the Market Perform rating without any upgrade or downgrade.

The company's strategic moves, including the management transition and debt refinancing, are seen as steps towards achieving better profitability. Peloton's focus on cost discipline, particularly in light of recent instructor departures and job tracking, is part of this broader effort to streamline operations and improve its financial standing.

In other recent news, Peloton Interactive Inc . has made significant financial strides. The company completed a refinancing plan, securing $1.35 billion through new credit facilities and private offerings.

This includes a $1 billion five-year term loan facility, an upsized private offering of convertible senior notes amounting to $350 million due in 2029, and a new $100 million five-year revolving credit facility with JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS).

As part of its global refinancing strategy, Peloton also announced the launch of a $300 million offering of convertible senior notes due in 2029. The company used the proceeds, along with available cash, to repurchase approximately $800 million of its 0% convertible senior notes due in 2026 and refinance existing debt.

BMO Capital maintained its Market Perform rating on Peloton, suggesting potential for significant gains if the company undergoes a strategic overhaul. The firm emphasized the need for Peloton to curtail its spending to improve its financial standing. These are among the recent developments for Peloton, a company that continues to navigate its financial and operational challenges with strategic financial moves.

InvestingPro Insights

Peloton Interactive's (NASDAQ:PTON) financial maneuvers and strategic adjustments have caught the attention of JMP Securities, which has reaffirmed a Market Perform rating on the company. In light of this, InvestingPro data and tips provide additional context to Peloton's current financial health and market position. With a market capitalization of $1.21 billion, the company exhibits a negative P/E ratio, indicating that it is not currently profitable. The latest revenue figures show a slight decline, with a 4.85% decrease in the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. Despite these challenges, Peloton maintains a gross profit margin of 40.45%, suggesting that while the company's top-line growth struggles, it retains a solid grip on cost management relative to revenue.

InvestingPro Tips further reveal that Peloton operates with a significant debt burden and may face difficulties in making interest payments, which is echoed by its substantial debt refinancing efforts. The company's stock has been characterized by high volatility, with a notable price drop of over 57% in the past year, underscoring the firm's caution in its rating. However, on a positive note, Peloton's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing some financial flexibility in the near term.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Peloton's financials and market prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that could guide investment decisions. By using the promo code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription to access these valuable insights. There are 12 more InvestingPro Tips available for Peloton, which could further inform investors about the company's potential profitability and market dynamics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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