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Jefferies starts NRG Energy coverage with hold, $78 target

Published 12/09/2024, 21:54
NRG
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On Thursday, NRG Energy Inc (NYSE:NRG) received a new coverage initiation from a major financial firm. Jefferies, a well-known investment bank, has assigned a Hold rating to the company's stock, alongside setting a price target of $78.00.


The firm's analysis highlighted NRG's performance over the past year, noting that the stock has doubled, which has led to a balanced risk/reward profile at the current valuation.


NRG Energy, which is primarily a retail energy provider, has also expanded into the smart home market through the acquisition of Vivint in 2023. The analyst from Jefferies pointed out that while NRG runs solid businesses, it does not have as much direct upside from data center growth as some of its industry peers. This factor has contributed to the Hold rating, indicating a neutral outlook on the stock's immediate future performance.


The firm's report included projections for NRG, forecasting a base business growth of 2-4%, which could be further enhanced by share buybacks. These buybacks are expected to potentially increase the company's earnings per share (EPS) compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to near double digits.


In terms of asset valuation, the analyst estimated that NRG's generation assets have a 'site value' of approximately $9 per share. However, the report suggests that much of this value is already reflected in the stock's current price, which is why the Hold rating has been given.


The price target of $78.00 takes into account these various factors, signaling the firm's expectation of where the stock price may settle in the near term.


In other recent news, NRG Energy has been making significant strides in various areas. The Public Utility Commission of Texas has shortlisted 17 gas-fired power plant projects, including one by NRG Energy, for a share of $5.38 billion in government funding. The funding is part of a program designed to encourage the development of natural gas electricity generation facilities.


BMO Capital maintained a Market Perform rating on shares of NRG Energy with a steady price target of $88.00, acknowledging the company's recent financial performance, including an adjusted EBITDA of $935 million, surpassing quarterly expectations.


In acquisition news, Gamut Capital Management is set to acquire Airtron Heating & Air Conditioning from NRG Energy. The specifics of the acquisition are yet to be disclosed.


NRG Energy has also appointed Dr. Lawrence Coben as its permanent CEO. Coben has been serving in an interim role since late 2023 and holds the position of Chair of the Board since 2017.


Lastly, NRG Energy has expanded its accounts receivable securitization facility to $2.3 billion, introducing Direct Energy Services, LLC as a new originator. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $849 million for Q1, surpassing estimates, and reaffirmed its financial outlook for 2024.


InvestingPro Insights


As NRG Energy Inc (NYSE:NRG) garners attention with its new coverage initiation by Jefferies, insights from InvestingPro provide additional context for investors. With a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, NRG showcases strong financial health, which may reassure investors looking for stable picks in the energy sector. Moreover, the company's strategy of aggressive share buybacks is a testament to management's confidence in the company's value, potentially signaling undervaluation to savvy investors.


InvestingPro data underscores NRG's compelling valuation metrics, with a Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio of 8.67, which is attractive compared to the industry average. Additionally, the company has demonstrated a robust shareholder yield, a metric that combines dividend payments and share repurchases to assess the total returns being provided to shareholders. With a recent uptick in price over the last six months of nearly 30%, NRG has shown significant market momentum, which may interest investors looking for growth as well as value.


For those seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers a suite of additional tips, including insights on NRG's expected net income growth this year and its position as a prominent player in the Electric Utilities industry. To explore these tips further, visit InvestingPro at: https://www.investing.com/pro/NRG.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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