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Jefferies downgrades Tenneco stock on free cash flow concerns despite strong revenue

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/09/2024, 09:18
TEN
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On Thursday, Jefferies adjusted its stance on Tenneco (NYSE:TEN), downgrading the stock from Buy to Hold and lowering the price target to $27 from the previous $31. The firm cited concerns over Tenneco's cash flow and debt situation as reasons for the revision.


The analyst from Jefferies highlighted that while Tenneco's shares are trading at a significant discount to Net Asset Value (NAV), the company's ability to generate free cash flow remains constrained. This is largely due to Tenneco's relatively high debt burden and its considerable commitments to newbuilding.


Despite acknowledging Tenneco's strong financial condition, underscored by a robust revenue backlog, Jefferies expressed caution regarding the stock's outlook. The analyst pointed out that the limited free cash flow generation is expected to continue affecting the stock's performance in the market.


The price target adjustment reflects these concerns, with the new target of $27 representing a decrease from the former $31 target. The downgrade to Hold suggests a neutral outlook for the stock, as the analyst believes the current financial challenges may weigh on Tenneco's share value.


Investors are now watching Tenneco closely, as the company navigates its financial obligations while trying to improve its cash flow. The stock's future movements will likely be influenced by how effectively Tenneco can manage these aspects of its business.


In other recent news, Tsakos Energy Navigation (NYSE:TEN) has unveiled its Q1 2024 financial results, reporting voyage revenues of $202 million and a net income of $54 million. Despite a slight dip in fleet utilization to 91% due to scheduled maintenance, the company is making strategic moves in the market, selling older vessels and acquiring modern, eco-friendly tankers. This is part of TEN's plan for a record year in 2024.


In an effort to enhance shareholder returns, TEN has declared its intention to double its semi-annual dividend to $0.60 per share, payable in July 2024. The company anticipates that new fleet additions will positively impact its financial performance in the latter half of the year. CEO Nikolas Tsakos emphasized the company's focus on fleet renewal, debt management, and shareholder returns.


According to recent developments, TEN is also taking strides in debt reduction, repaying $250 million of debt and redeeming $211 million in preferred shares. The company is optimistic about global oil demand growth, particularly in Asia and the Pacific, which is expected to favor the company's prospects. However, there will be no special dividend this year; it will be included in the second half dividend.


InvestingPro Insights


As investors consider the revised outlook on Tenneco (NYSE:TEN) by Jefferies, it's pertinent to note some key data points and insights from InvestingPro that could provide a broader perspective on the stock. Tenneco's market capitalization stands at a modest $726.07 million, which, when paired with a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.94, suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings. The adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is even lower at 4.73, reinforcing this possibility.


Moreover, the company's commitment to shareholder returns is evidenced by its dividend track record, having maintained dividend payments for 23 consecutive years, with a notable dividend yield of 4.88%. This could appeal to income-focused investors, especially in a market where stable dividends are highly valued. Additionally, analysts predict profitability for Tenneco this year, which is consistent with its performance over the last twelve months. These factors could provide some counterbalance to the concerns raised by Jefferies regarding cash flow and debt.


For those seeking further insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which include observations on the stock's low price volatility and its tendency to move inversely to market trends. These tips, along with other detailed metrics, can be found on the InvestingPro platform for Tenneco at https://www.investing.com/pro/TEN.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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