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HealthStream stock price target raised on strong 3Q performance

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 23/10/2024, 13:06
HSTM
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On Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity adjusted its stock price target for HealthStream (NASDAQ:HSTM), increasing it to $29 from the previous $28, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The adjustment follows HealthStream's third-quarter performance, which showed that the company's adjusted EBITDA exceeded both the firm's and the Street's estimates, although revenue fell slightly short.

Despite this, HealthStream's management lowered its revenue guidance by $3 million at the midpoint, a move attributed to the normalization of consumption levels for a consumption-based learning product at a major customer—a situation that had been previously discussed.

HealthStream's management has set the current revenue guidance at the lower end of the previously projected range, a decision that was anticipated following last quarter's indications. On a brighter note, the company has raised the lower end of its adjusted EBITDA guidance range in response to a strong third-quarter showing. The sales pipeline for core products, including CredentialStream, ShiftWizard, and API-related offerings, remains robust.

The adoption of HealthStream's APIs and the Developer Portal continues to expand, with the number of organizations and third-party developers using the portal doubling over the past twelve months. Customer-built integrations have also nearly tripled in that time frame.

Product development investments are paying off, as evidenced by the launch of Insight Plus, a new analytics and reporting tool for learning. This product, built on an updated technology stack, has replaced two legacy products and has already secured just over $2 million in bookings in the first three quarters of 2024. Its sales pipeline is nearly six times larger than that of the legacy products it replaced at the same point last year.

Moreover, HealthStream has demonstrated its ability to grow wallet share with a significant East Coast customer, which saw a 29% increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) upon renewal, along with a 2.5% annual pricing escalator. However, the company still faces challenges, notably from declining revenues due to attrition in its legacy products, which impacted revenue by approximately $2 million in the quarter compared to the third quarter of 2023.

Despite the potential for growth acceleration through new products, Developer Portal adoption, and pricing escalators, the analyst notes that the impact of legacy product attrition and the long-term nature of pricing escalator contributions warrant a continuation of the Hold rating.

In other recent news, HealthStream, a provider of workforce solutions for the healthcare industry, reported a successful third quarter in 2024 with record revenues reaching $73.1 million, a 3.9% increase from the previous year.

The company's net income rose by 48% to $5.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA was reported at $17.7 million. HealthStream is expanding its reach to healthcare professionals and nursing students, with significant revenue growth seen in the CredentialStream and ShiftWizard applications by 34% and 17% respectively.

The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, maintaining a strong cash balance of $94.9 million with no debt. Despite a slight downward revision in revenue expectations due to lagging customer consumption, HealthStream is optimistic about its growth trajectory and plans for future product innovation. The projected revenue for the year is between $290 million and $292 million, with net income expected between $18.5 million and $19.5 million.

CEO Bobby Frist highlighted the company's growth across all major financial categories and the expansion of sales channels. HealthStream's hStream technology platform and new partnerships, such as with Verisys, aim to enhance credentialing solutions and expand market reach. These are some of the recent developments concerning HealthStream.

InvestingPro Insights

HealthStream's recent performance and strategic moves are reflected in several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $914.37 million, with a P/E ratio of 43.83, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for the stock relative to its earnings. This aligns with the article's discussion of HealthStream's potential for growth through new products and increased adoption of its Developer Portal.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that HealthStream holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which suggests financial stability and the capacity to invest in product development, as mentioned in the article regarding the launch of Insight Plus. Moreover, the company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was $287.99 million, with a modest growth of 3.96%, which contextualizes the slight revenue shortfall noted in the Canaccord Genuity report.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip indicates that two analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. This positive outlook aligns with HealthStream's raised adjusted EBITDA guidance and the strong sales pipeline for core products mentioned in the article.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of HealthStream's financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to support investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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