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Goldman Sachs starts with 'Buy' on LandBridge stock, sees 23% upside

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/07/2024, 09:12
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On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) initiated coverage on LandBridge (NYSE: LB) stock, a land holding company operating in the Permian Basin, with a Buy rating and a price target of $35.00.

The firm highlighted the company's strategic positioning along the New Mexico-Texas Stateline, which is anticipated to benefit from the ongoing growth of the Permian Basin, especially in areas such as produced water disposal.

LandBridge's business model was also praised for its low operational and capital expenditure requirements, which are expected to result in high free cash flow conversion.

Additionally, Goldman Sachs pointed out the significant potential for LandBridge to expand its services beyond traditional oil and gas demand, with particular opportunities in data centers and solar farms.

The investment firm underscored upcoming catalysts for LandBridge that could include an increase in market share for produced water, more detailed announcements regarding letters of intent for data centers, and the prospect of a dividend payment, as indicated in the company's recent S-1 filing.

The $35.00 price target set by Goldman Sachs suggests a roughly 23% total return potential, based on the closing price as of July 19, 2024, which stands in contrast to the estimated 5% upside for the broader midstream sector covered by the firm.

In other recent news, LandBridge has been the focus of analysis by both Citi and Barclays (LON:BARC). Citi initiated coverage of LandBridge with a neutral rating and a price target of $31, highlighting the company's strategic positioning in the Permian Basin and its potential for organic growth through mergers and acquisitions.

LandBridge's diversification into renewable energy sectors and other areas with long-term growth prospects was also noted. Citi's price target is based on a net present value methodology, suggesting a valuation of about 18.5 times LandBridge's projected 2025 EBITDA.

Barclays initiated its coverage of LandBridge at an Equal Weight rating with a $29 target. The firm highlighted the company's ownership of 220,000 surface acres in the Delaware sub-basin of the Permian Basin.

Barclays projected substantial growth for LandBridge, with an expected 36% increase in EBITDA in 2025 and a 12% increase in 2026, partly driven by acquisitions planned for the first half of 2024.

However, Barclays also pointed out potential risks, including execution risks associated with future acquisitions and potential conflicts of interest involving LandBridge, its affiliate WaterBridge, and the sponsor Five Point. These recent developments provide insight into LandBridge's current market position and potential growth trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

LandBridge's (NYSE: LB) recent performance and strategic moves have caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. With a market capitalization of $2.16 billion and a robust revenue growth of 19.69% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, LandBridge's financial health appears to be solid. The company's adjusted P/E ratio of 6.9 reflects a more attractive valuation compared to the unadjusted P/E of 28.45, signaling potential for investors who are mindful of earnings multiples.

Two InvestingPro Tips for LandBridge suggest a mixed financial posture: The company's short-term obligations currently outpace its liquid assets, indicating a potential liquidity risk. However, LandBridge has been operating with a moderate level of debt, which could be considered manageable within its industry context. Additionally, the company's strong return of 27.65% over the past month demonstrates a significant momentum in its stock price.

For those interested in deeper analysis and additional insights, there are more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/LB. To enhance your investment research, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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