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Goldman Sachs reaffirms Sell on Texas Instruments stock despite revenue increase

Published 23/10/2024, 13:06
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On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) reiterated a Sell rating on Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), maintaining a price target of $190.00. The firm's stance remains unchanged despite Texas Instruments' third-quarter automotive revenue increase, which was notably driven by strong performance in China.

The company's fourth-quarter revenue guidance, which suggests a 7% quarter-over-quarter decrease at the midpoint, is seen as relatively aligned with historical seasonal patterns and might be perceived more optimistically by the market.

Texas Instruments is currently trading at a multiple that Goldman Sachs finds unfavorable when considering risk and reward. The stock's valuation stands at 30 times the firm's projected 2026 operating earnings per share (EPS) of $6.71, or 21 times the company's peak 2022 earnings of $9.55. Goldman Sachs holds that this valuation does not present an attractive investment profile.

The analyst indicated a potential shift in their position could occur if signs of market share stabilization within the semiconductor sector become evident during the earnings season. Additionally, an improvement in Texas Instruments' margin trajectory over the cycle could lead to a more positive outlook on the stock.

These factors are part of the broader analysis provided by Goldman Sachs, which includes a detailed bull/bear assessment and implications for the semiconductor group at large.

Investors and market watchers are directed to Goldman Sachs' comprehensive note for a summary of the key points from Texas Instruments' earnings release and conference call, as well as for further insights into the company's position within the semiconductor industry.

In other recent news, Texas Instruments has been the focus of several key developments. Evercore ISI has raised its price target on Texas Instruments to $298, citing expectations of a strong fourth quarter with projected revenues of $4.1 billion.

This projection exceeds Texas Instruments' forecast range of $3.7 to $4.0 billion. The company's significant growth in automotive revenues and a broadening cyclical recovery in personal electronics, enterprise systems, and communications equipment were highlighted.

However, Texas Instruments has projected its fourth-quarter revenue to fall below analysts' estimates due to a buildup in inventory levels. In response to these developments, Mizuho has updated its outlook on Texas Instruments, raising the price target to $200 from $190, while keeping a neutral rating.

Bernstein SocGen Group has maintained its Underperform rating, expressing concerns about the company's fourth-quarter performance and potential overestimation of forward-looking financial estimates by the market.

Rosenblatt has maintained its Buy rating on Texas Instruments, anticipating that the company will meet its third-quarter expectations for 2024 and project sequential growth into the fourth quarter.

These are the recent developments for Texas Instruments.

InvestingPro Insights

Texas Instruments' current financial metrics and market position offer additional context to Goldman Sachs' analysis. According to InvestingPro data, the company's P/E ratio stands at 33.56, aligning with Goldman's assessment of a high valuation. This is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip indicating that TXN is "Trading at a high earnings multiple."

Despite the challenging valuation, TXN demonstrates financial strength in several areas. The company has raised its dividend for 21 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 54 years, as highlighted by InvestingPro Tips. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 2.8%, may appeal to income-focused investors.

However, in line with Goldman's cautious stance, InvestingPro Tips also note that analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year, and net income is expected to drop. This aligns with the company's fourth-quarter revenue guidance mentioned in the article.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips for Texas Instruments, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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