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Goldman Sachs lifts Samsara stock target on strong earnings

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 06/09/2024, 12:14
IOT
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On Friday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) adjusted its outlook on Samsara Inc (NYSE: NYSE:IOT), raising the price target to $45 from the previous $44, while retaining a Buy rating on the stock. The increase follows the company's second-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings, which surpassed expectations in key financial metrics.


Samsara's financial results demonstrated an outperformance with a 1% increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), a 4% rise in revenue, an 800 basis point improvement in operating margins, and a 400 basis point enhancement in free cash flow margins. Additionally, the company's guidance for the third quarter and full fiscal year 2025 exceeded forecasts regarding revenue and operating margins.


The company's share price responded positively, showing a 5% rise, which analysts attribute to several factors. These include a sequential rise in revenue outperformance, robust fiscal year 2025 revenue and non-GAAP operating margin guidance, and a notable increase in large customers, with the addition of 169 new clients contributing over $100,000 each.


Samsara's core offerings, Telematics and Video Based Safety, along with Equipment Monitoring, continue to exhibit strong growth, which is significant as the company caters to capital-intensive clients who value the tangible return on investment from these services. The company's innovation in products such as Asset Tags, Connected Workflows, and Connected Trainings is also expected to enhance pricing and retention strength.


The firm's positive outlook is further supported by Samsara's potential for revenue growth, projected at $2 billion by fiscal year 2027. This is bolstered by a large, underpenetrated Total Addressable Market (TAM), continuous growth in new net annual contract value (NNACV), and a diverse business exposure with 87% of NNACV coming from non-transportation verticals. Europe's market, with a larger opportunity for Connected Fleets than North America, contributed to accelerating year-over-year ARR growth for the fourth consecutive quarter.


In other recent news, Samsara Inc has been the subject of much attention following robust financial results. The company reported a 37% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $300 million, and an impressive 20% growth in net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which amounted to $88 million. Evercore ISI, TD Cowen, and Truist Securities responded to these strong results by raising their price targets for Samsara to $42, $46, and $40 respectively.


Samsara's appeal to larger customers was evident, with a 41% increase in customers generating over $100,000 in ARR. The company also added 169 new customers in this high-value bracket. Furthermore, 94% of these high-value customers opted for two or more solutions from Samsara, demonstrating effective cross-selling.


In the international segment, Samsara saw growth with international business accounting for 16% of net new Annual Contract Value (ACV), showing particular strength in Europe. The company's growth was also boosted by product innovation, with Asset Tags and the Connected Workflows product each contributing approximately $1 million in new ACV during the quarter.


Looking ahead, Samsara projects earnings per share between $0.03 and $0.04, and revenue in the range of $309-311 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2025.

InvestingPro Insights


Following Goldman Sachs' updated outlook on Samsara Inc, InvestingPro provides additional insights that may be pertinent for investors considering the stock. With a market capitalization of $21.34 billion, Samsara is a significant player in its field. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, the company's revenue growth has been robust, with an increase of 41.94% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2025. This aligns with the strong revenue and non-GAAP operating margin guidance noted by Goldman Sachs.


InvestingPro data also highlights that while the company is trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 23.1, this may reflect investor confidence in Samsara's growth potential and innovative product offerings. The company's moderate level of debt is another factor that could be contributing to its positive market sentiment. However, it's worth noting that the P/E ratio stands at a negative 57.76, indicating that the market is pricing the stock for future growth rather than current earnings.


For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, including insights on earnings revisions and profitability forecasts. It's noteworthy that analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, which could be a turning point for Samsara's financial performance. For a deeper dive into these metrics and more, investors can explore the full range of InvestingPro Tips available for Samsara at https://www.investing.com/pro/IOT.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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