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Goldman Sachs holds Conviction Buy on Constellation Brands shares

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 03/07/2024, 16:48
STZ
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On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) maintained its Conviction Buy rating on shares of Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), with a steady price target of $300.00. The firm acknowledged the company's robust start to the year, highlighting that the first quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $3.57 exceeded both their own and the consensus estimates, which were $3.47 and $3.46 respectively.

Constellation Brands, known for its beer and wine products, delivered a positive surprise to investors, particularly with its beer shipments and depletions, as well as operational margins within its beer segment. This performance is anticipated to contribute to an uptick in the company's stock value. The strong sales growth led to significant operational margin beats in the beer segment.

However, the wine segment did not perform as well, continuing to fall short in both shipments and operational margins. Analysts are looking forward to the company's management call to gain insights into whether depletions have increased as the quarter to date (QTD) progresses, as well as to understand the ongoing challenges in the wine business and the expected trends in beer margins for the remainder of the year. Management has previously suggested that margins could dip below the full-year guidance of 39% in some quarters.

Despite these strong results, Constellation Brands' management has chosen to reaffirm its fiscal year 2025 guidance. This move was anticipated by analysts and is typical for the early stages of the fiscal year. Nonetheless, the guidance is deemed conservative by Goldman Sachs, considering the strength of Constellation Brands' underlying business and the clear path to achieving management's growth objectives. The firm's reiterated Buy rating reflects confidence in the company's capacity to meet these goals.

In other recent news, Constellation Brands has been demonstrating remarkable performance, particularly in its beer segment. The company reported a 6.4% increase in beer depletions, surpassing expectations set by analysts from firms such as RBC Capital and Jefferies. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) also exceeded the Visible Alpha consensus estimate, coming in at $3.57.

Despite struggles in the wine and spirits division, Constellation Brands received a variety of positive ratings. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) maintained a Hold rating, while CFRA upgraded its stance from Hold to Strong Buy, increasing the price target to $335. RBC Capital and Jefferies also maintained their positive ratings.

In addition to its operational performance, Constellation Brands has returned substantial capital to its shareholders, completing over $240 million in share repurchases.

The company is also nearing the completion of its brewery expansion in Mexico and has potential plans to sell its Mexicali Brewery. Both developments are expected to positively impact the company's cash flow and volume growth. These are some of the recent developments that investors should keep an eye on as they reflect the company's current standing and future prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) has demonstrated a strong fiscal start, aligning with the positive outlook from Goldman Sachs. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is underscored by a consistent increase in dividends, having raised its dividend for 9 consecutive years, according to InvestingPro Tips. While some analysts have revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, it's worth noting that Constellation Brands is predicted to remain profitable this year, with profitability sustained over the last twelve months.

InvestingPro Data highlights a robust financial profile, with a market capitalization of $47.21 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 27.49. The company's revenue has grown by 5.39% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, indicating continued business expansion. Additionally, the gross profit margin remains strong at 50.4%, suggesting efficient operations and cost management.

For investors seeking detailed analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive list of tips, with 6 more tips available to help evaluate the company's prospects. Utilize the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription to gain access to these valuable tips and data insights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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