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GE HealthCare stock target cut on China sales pause

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 30/04/2024, 17:34
GEHC
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On Tuesday, Evercore ISI adjusted its stock price target for GE HealthCare (NASDAQ:GEHC) Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:GEHC), reducing it to $96 from the previous $100, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The revision follows GE HealthCare's report of a slight decline in organic revenue by 0.5%, with revenues of $4.65 billion falling short of the Street's expectations by approximately $150 million, or 3%.

This shortfall was primarily attributed to lower sales in capital equipment, such as MRI, CT, ultrasound, and monitoring/ventilation devices, and was somewhat mitigated by stronger performance in pharmaceutical diagnostics (PDx).

The revenue miss was predominantly due to a temporary halt in customer purchases in China, in anticipation of a government stimulus announcement. The first quarter also faced challenges with order fulfillment within its Patient Care Solutions (PCS) segment.

Despite these issues, the company saw a year-over-year improvement in gross margins (GMs) by 120 basis points, thanks to pricing and productivity initiatives, even as revenues dipped slightly.

Looking forward, GE HealthCare anticipates organic revenue growth of around 4% for the fiscal year, with the first half expected to see a low single-digit increase and the second half projected to ramp up to a high single-digit increase, which is approximately a 500 basis point acceleration from the first half.

Management expressed confidence in this growth, citing potential improvements in the Chinese market following the stimulus, resolution of order fulfillment issues, increased service revenues, and more favorable year-over-year comparisons.

From a margin perspective, productivity gains were the key driver of improved gross margins in the first quarter, a trend that is expected to continue. Moreover, pricing is forecasted to contribute positively by 1-2%, offering some buffer to margins.

A notable highlight from management's commentary was the mention of China's new stimulus program, which involves direct cash injections rather than zero-interest loans, a move that is anticipated to be more effective and is seen as a positive development for the fiscal year 2025 and long-term investors.

The revised stock price target of $96 by Evercore ISI reflects a valuation of approximately 13 times EBITDA, 22 times P/E, and a free cash flow yield of around 4.2%. This adjustment comes amidst a 10% decline in GE HealthCare's share price, with concerns over the second-half revenue ramp-up, but the firm remains optimistic about the company's capital book-to-bill ratio, the impact of China's stimulus, and execution of gross margin improvements supporting a favorable outlook for long-term investors.

InvestingPro Insights

The latest metrics from InvestingPro provide a comprehensive view of GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.'s financial health and market performance. As a prominent player in the Healthcare Equipment & Supplies industry, GE HealthCare is currently trading near its 52-week high, demonstrating a strong return over the last three months with a notable 21.28% price total return.

This momentum is further underscored by a significant 33.7% price uptick over the last six months, indicating robust investor confidence in the company's prospects.

Financially, GE HealthCare boasts a market capitalization of $40.59 billion and a Price / Book ratio of 5.69, which, while on the higher side, is reflective of the company's market value relative to its book value.

The company's profitability is also highlighted by a P/E ratio of 28.41 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at 29.22. Moreover, with a gross profit margin of 40.52% and an operating income margin of 15.09%, the company's efficiency in generating profits from its revenues stands out.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that analysts predict GE HealthCare will be profitable this year, a sentiment supported by the company's performance over the last twelve months. For readers looking to delve deeper into GE HealthCare's financial analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/GEHC. To further enhance your investment research, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. There are currently 6 more InvestingPro Tips available for GE HealthCare, providing valuable insights for informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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