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Following robust 3Q24, Needham raises Napco Security stock PT along with outlook

Published 07/05/2024, 14:42
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On Tuesday, Needham has increased the price target for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NSSC) to $52.00 from the previous $46.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment follows the company's release of its fiscal third-quarter 2024 results, which surpassed expectations in terms of revenues, margins, and earnings per share (EPS).

Napco Security reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 13%, exceeding the Street's projection of an 11% rise. The earnings per share for the quarter were 13% higher than what was anticipated by consensus. This outperformance was attributed to stronger gross margins in both the equipment and recurring revenues segments.

Specifically, equipment revenue saw a 5% year-over-year growth, which was slightly ahead of the consensus forecast of 4%. This was driven by a notable 16% increase in sales of Door-Locking Devices, which helped to balance a 12% drop in Intrusion & Access Alarm (NASDAQ:ALRM) Products. Moreover, radio sales are showing signs of recovery.

The company's Service business, which generates recurring revenue, marked a significant increase of 29% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of 25%. The annual run rate for recurring revenue has now reached $81 million, based on the recurring revenue figures from April 2024.

In light of these results, Needham has revised its fiscal fourth-quarter 2024 and fiscal year 2025 estimates for Napco Security upwards. The firm suggests that there is potential for further upside due to the company's expanding channel reach and introduction of new products. The Buy rating has been reaffirmed, indicating confidence in the stock's future performance.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the positive report from Needham on Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC), real-time data from InvestingPro further enriches the investment perspective. Napco Security holds a market capitalization of approximately $1.67 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 33.71, reflecting investor confidence in its earnings potential. Additionally, the company has demonstrated robust revenue growth over the last quarter of 13.17%, indicating a strong upward trajectory in sales.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Napco Security is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which may appeal to value investors looking for growth at a reasonable price. Moreover, with a significant return over the last week of 11.3%, the stock has been gaining momentum, which could interest traders looking for short-term gains.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Napco Security Technologies, revealing that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations—factors that provide financial stability and may reassure risk-averse investors. There are 15 more InvestingPro Tips available that could provide further insights into the stock's performance and valuation. Interested readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking detailed analytics and expert opinions that could inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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