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Flywire shares target lowered by Citi amid revenue visibility concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/08/2024, 11:04
FLYW
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On Wednesday, Citi adjusted its outlook on Flywire (NASDAQ:FLYW) shares, a leading provider of global payment and receivables solutions. The firm's analyst has revised the price target downward to $25.00 from the previous target of $27.00 but has upheld a Buy rating on the stock.

This change comes after Flywire reported second-quarter results that aligned with revenue expectations and revealed an adjusted EBITDA that surpassed forecasts.

In the recent earnings report, Flywire confirmed that it has adjusted its full-year 2024 revenue projections. This revision accounts for the anticipated impact of student visa policy changes and timing of enrollments in Canada, which have been areas of concern for investors.

The company has taken a conservative approach, excluding certain assumptions from its forecast due to the difficulty in quantifying them. Despite these challenges, the company's business pipeline, new bookings, and net revenue retention, excluding Canadian education, continue to demonstrate strong performance.

The analyst noted that Flywire's ongoing focus on controllable factors has resulted in effective execution. Additionally, the potential for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and cash flow to increase provides a solid foundation for the company's financial health. The possibility of strategic mergers and acquisitions (M&A) also presents an opportunity for Flywire to bolster its market position.

Citi's revised price target reflects the impact of lower top-line growth and visibility concerns. However, the firm maintains its Buy rating, suggesting that the stock's valuation remains appealing when weighed against its growth prospects. The long-term opportunity for Flywire is still considered to be strong, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.

In other recent news, Flywire Corporation announced a significant acquisition of Invoiced, a company specializing in Accounts Receivable (A/R) automation, aiming to enhance its B2B payments solution.

The move is set to expand Flywire's customer base across various industries and geographies. Invoiced's A/R automation software will be integrated with Flywire's global payment network, offering a comprehensive solution for the B2B payments industry.

Flywire also reported strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2024, with revenue reaching $110.2 million, a 24% increase year-over-year. The company saw a significant rise in adjusted gross profit to $71.9 million and nearly doubled its adjusted EBITDA to $13.2 million.

Analysts from Raymond James and Citi have maintained positive ratings on Flywire. Raymond James reiterated a Strong Buy rating with a $30.00 price target, while Citi maintained a Buy rating despite a lower revenue outlook impacted by foreign exchange factors. Both firms' analysis are rooted in detailed financial estimations and market expectations.

InvestingPro Insights

As Flywire navigates the evolving landscape of global payment solutions, real-time data from InvestingPro offers a snapshot of the company's financial health. With a market capitalization of $2.21 billion, Flywire's growth trajectory is underscored by a robust 32.48% revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This growth is further highlighted by a notable 63.31% gross profit margin, reflecting the company's ability to manage its cost of goods sold effectively.

InvestingPro Tips suggest optimism about Flywire's profitability, with analysts predicting that the company will become profitable this year. This aligns with the positive outlook on net income growth and the company's solid liquidity position, as its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. Despite not paying a dividend, which might be a consideration for income-focused investors, the focus remains on Flywire's potential for capital appreciation, as evidenced by the fair value estimates pointing to a higher price target than the current market price.

For readers seeking an in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Flywire, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial landscape and future prospects. As the company continues to execute its strategy amidst market challenges, these insights can be pivotal for investors considering Flywire's stock for their portfolios.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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