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FedEx stock target cut on DRIVE initiative optimism

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 20/09/2024, 15:18
FDX
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On Friday, Raymond James adjusted its outlook on FedEx (NYSE:FDX), reducing the price target from $330.00 to $310.00, but maintained an Outperform rating on the stock. The firm's analysis supports a positive view of the company's future performance, citing ongoing strategic initiatives expected to enhance profitability and shareholder returns.

The investment firm highlighted FedEx's DRIVE program as a key factor in its continued Outperform rating. This program encompasses a strategic integration of the company's Express and Ground services, known as Network (LON:NETW) 2.0, and a concerted effort to reduce costs across various operational areas. Additionally, FedEx's management has been commended for their enhanced scrutiny of capital expenditures and the implementation of a more shareholder-friendly capital return strategy, including a new buyback program.

The decision to lower the price target to $310 is rooted in a valuation that applies approximately 7 times the projected Calendar 2025 EBITDA, which represents a discount compared to FedEx's transportation sector peers. This valuation also incorporates a sum-of-the-parts analysis, reflecting the detailed assessment of the company's various business segments.

Moreover, the firm underscored the recent announcement of a strategic review of FedEx's Freight segment as a sign of management's commitment to driving shareholder value. This move is seen as a part of the broader DRIVE initiative, which aims to streamline operations and improve the company's financial performance.

In conclusion, Raymond James' revised price target for FedEx reflects a mix of caution and optimism, acknowledging both the challenges and potential for improved margins, earnings, and free cash flow in the coming years as a result of the company's strategic efforts.

In other recent news, FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX) has experienced a series of adjustments in its stock price target by various financial firms following its first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2025. The company's earnings report revealed an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.60, falling short of market expectations. This was attributed to a shift in the types of shipments it handled, resulting in higher costs and impacting the company's blended yield.

Despite these challenges, FedEx management has indicated that cost savings are expected to increase sequentially throughout the year, with revenue management initiatives in place to mitigate the pressure on yields. Firms such as TD Cowen, Jefferies, Susquehanna, Stifel, and Baird have all lowered their price targets for FedEx, while Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) downgraded FedEx stock from Equalweight to Underweight. Despite these revisions, most firms retain a positive or neutral rating on the stock.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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