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Evercore sees Sirius XM stock upside following merger with Liberty

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/09/2024, 11:06
SIRI
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Tuesday, Sirius XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) saw its price target significantly increased to $32.50 from the previous $3.25 by Evercore ISI, while the firm maintained an In Line rating for the stock. The adjustment follows the completion of the merger between Liberty Sirius XM and Sirius XM, which was finalized after the market closed on Monday, September 9, 2024.


The newly formed entity will continue to operate under the Sirius XM name and will commence trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker symbol SIRI starting today. The revised price target by Evercore ISI is based on an updated model that considers the merger's specifics, including an exchange ratio of 0.8375x.


This ratio reflects the approximately 274 million shares previously owned by Liberty Sirius XM and a net liability assumption of around $1.2 billion, which accounts for closing costs associated with the merger. The pro-forma share count for the new Sirius common stock stands at 339.1 million following the transaction.


The merger has created a new public company that will operate under the Sirius XM brand, with the combined operations expected to enhance the company's market position. The updated model by Evercore ISI takes into account the significant changes in share structure and liabilities as a result of the merger.


Investors and market watchers will likely monitor the performance of the new Sirius XM on the Nasdaq, as the company embarks on its journey post-merger with a substantially higher price target reflecting the new corporate structure and market expectations.


"In other recent news, Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ:SIRI) announced a significant merger with a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation (NASDAQ:FWONA). This development, expected to streamline the corporate structure, will see Sirius XM become a wholly-owned subsidiary of the newly formed company.


The merger follows a series of agreements between Sirius XM and Liberty Media, including a Reorganization Agreement initially dated December 11, 2023, and subsequently amended on June 16, 2024.


In the wake of these developments, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) revised its price target for Sirius XM to $3.00, maintaining a Hold rating. The bank cited lower estimates for the company's EBITDA and free cash flow, emphasizing the importance of subscriber growth for revenue and EBITDA expansion.


Sirius XM's Q2 2024 earnings report revealed an 8% sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, a year-over-year improvement in margins, and a 6% increase in free cash flow from the previous year. Despite a decline in subscriber and advertising revenue in the SiriusXM segment, the company reported a 2% revenue increase in the Pandora (OTC:PANDY) and off-platform segment.


To foster growth, Sirius XM has implemented several strategic initiatives, including a revamped streaming experience, a new in-vehicle pricing model, and the expansion of 360L installation rates, as well as plans to open a European tech hub."


InvestingPro Insights


In light of the recent merger and subsequent changes in Sirius XM Radio Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIRI) structure, it's essential to consider the current financial metrics and market performance to understand the company's valuation better. According to InvestingPro data, Sirius XM's market capitalization stands at $10.28 billion, with a notably low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.95. This suggests that the stock is trading at a low multiple relative to its earnings, which could indicate an undervalued position, especially considering the company's positive earnings growth outlook.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that Sirius XM has maintained dividend payments for nine consecutive years, offering a current dividend yield of 3.99%. This consistent return to shareholders is a positive sign, particularly in a volatile market. Additionally, analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which is corroborated by the fact that Sirius XM has been profitable over the last twelve months.


However, potential investors should note that the company's short-term obligations exceed its liquid assets, which could raise concerns about its short-term financial stability. For those interested in further analysis and tips, InvestingPro offers additional insights and metrics on Sirius XM, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/SIRI.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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