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Evercore ISI cuts Intuitive Surgical shares target amid system placement constraints

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 19/07/2024, 11:34
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On Friday, Evercore ISI adjusted its outlook on Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) shares, reducing the price target to $410 from the previous $425. The firm has retained an 'In Line' rating for the stock.

This revision follows Intuitive Surgical's reported revenue growth of 14.5%, which surpassed Street estimates by approximately 190 basis points. The growth was attributed to a 16% increase in consumable revenue, approximately 14% in system revenue, and around 10% in service revenue.

The company experienced a notable 17% growth in procedures, exceeding Street expectations by roughly 150 basis points. This consistent quarter-over-quarter growth rate matches the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2019.

In the U.S., procedure growth was 14%, with Ion procedures and general surgery driving the numbers, despite a mid-single-digit decline in bariatric procedures. International growth was strong at 22%, led by non-urology procedures. System placements totaled 341, outpacing the Street's estimate of 328, bolstered by 70 new da Vinci 5 (dV5) system placements.

Intuitive Surgical's gross margins beat Street expectations by 300 basis points, primarily due to a favorable mix and cost-saving measures. Only 11 of the 70 dV5 systems were sold outright, with the remainder being accounted for through usage or lease agreements.

Operating margins, excluding $174 million in stock compensation expense, were 37.5%, which was 450 basis points above Street estimates. These figures, coupled with a slight increase in interest income, resulted in earnings per share (EPS) of $1.78, which represents a 25% year-over-year growth and is 15% higher than Street forecasts.

Management has revised its full-year guidance, increasing the expected range of procedure growth, raising gross margin projections, and lowering anticipated operating expenses, despite it being a launch year for a new system. These changes prompted Evercore ISI to increase its EPS estimate by approximately 5% to $6.73.

However, the firm also noted potential challenges, including constrained dV5 system placements until the first half of 2025 and a stabilized, rather than accelerating, utilization environment.

Additionally, potential short-term softness in the tech sector could impact Intuitive Surgical, given its correlation with the tech industry. The revised price target of $410 is based on an estimated 65 times average forward FY24/25 P/E and a free cash flow yield of about 1.4%.

In other recent news, Intuitive Surgical has seen a flurry of activity from various analyst firms, all adjusting their price targets in response to the company's promising Q2 2024 financial results.

BTIG raised its price target to $469, following the company's reported revenues of $2.009 billion, a 14.5% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.78. These figures surpassed both BTIG's and consensus estimates.

Truist Securities raised its price target to $515, citing expected revenue and EPS growth driven by the company's consistent procedure growth and anticipated new product cycle.

Baird increased its price target to $487, highlighting the potential impact of the da Vinci 5 system on the company's future earnings. Mizuho also upped its price target to $440, reflecting positive expectations surrounding the da Vinci 5 system. Piper Sandler adjusted its price target to $490, noting strong placement numbers for the da Vinci 5 surgical robot.

Additionally, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved a labeling revision for Intuitive's da Vinci X and Xi surgical systems, indicating survival rates for patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy are comparable to those of traditional open surgery.

This decision was based on a study involving nearly 25,000 patients. These recent developments underscore Intuitive Surgical's strong position in the medical technology industry.

InvestingPro Insights

Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) is currently trading at a significant earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 73.91 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, reflecting a premium valuation in the market. This high valuation is also echoed in the company's Price / Book ratio, which stands at 10.57, indicating that investors are willing to pay a higher price for each dollar of book value. Despite this, the company's strong revenue growth of 13.81% over the last twelve months showcases its ability to expand its top line effectively.

The company's solid financial footing is evident as its gross profit margin remains robust at 66.43%, and its operating income margin is impressive at 25.26%. With a market capitalization of $147.61 billion USD, Intuitive Surgical is a heavyweight in its sector, and its stock exhibits low price volatility, which may appeal to investors looking for stability in their portfolio. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, underlining a strong balance sheet.

For investors seeking further analysis and metrics, InvestingPro offers additional PRONEWS24 InvestingPro Tips, including insights on the company's performance and valuation. By using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. With 14 more InvestingPro Tips available, including predictions on profitability and historical returns, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of Intuitive Surgical's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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