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Domino's stock faces challenges but new tactics offer upside - TD Cowen

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 16/09/2024, 11:08
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On Monday, TD Cowen adjusted its outlook on Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), lowering the price target to $475 from the previous $520 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.


The revision reflects the firm's anticipation of a slowdown in the company's second-half 2024 U.S. same-store sales, which are now expected to grow by 3% instead of the earlier forecast of 4%. This adjustment is attributed to the broader challenges faced by the quick-service industry.


The firm acknowledged the efforts by Domino's Pizza to counteract these headwinds through the implementation of new strategies aimed at increasing customer traffic. This comes in light of a particularly challenging fourth quarter comparison.


Despite the reduced expectations for the near term, TD Cowen expressed optimism for the company's performance in 2025, anticipating benefits from a potential partnership with DoorDash (NASDAQ:DASH) that is expected to commence in the second quarter of 2025.


In line with these revised sales projections, TD Cowen also adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Domino's Pizza for the years 2024 and 2025. The firm decreased its EPS forecast by 2% for 2024 and by 1% for 2025. The new price target of $475 reflects these updated earnings expectations.


Domino's Pizza, a major player in the quick-service restaurant sector, is facing industry-wide challenges that are impacting its sales growth. TD Cowen's revised forecast indicates a cautious yet positive outlook, expecting the company to navigate through the current industry environment while laying the groundwork for future growth through strategic partnerships.


In other recent news, Domino's Pizza has been the subject of numerous analyst adjustments following its second-quarter performance. Baird lowered the price target for Domino's from $580 to $535, maintaining an Outperform rating, despite the company's cautious remarks regarding the current macroeconomic environment.


Meanwhile, BMO Capital also adjusted its outlook on Domino's shares, reducing the stock's price target from $525.00 to $510.00, while retaining an Outperform rating, after intensified consumer pressures were acknowledged during investor meetings.


Oppenheimer reduced its price target to $490, still holding an Outperform rating on the stock, highlighting Domino's competitive advantages and potential for above-peer unit growth.


RBC Capital Markets lowered its price target for Domino's Pizza to $500 from $575, while maintaining an Outperform rating, following the company's meeting revenue expectations and exceeding earnings per share predictions for the second quarter.


Lastly, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) upgraded Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd from Underweight to Neutral, setting a new price target at AUD34.00, influenced by the company's solid financial results for fiscal year 2024. These recent developments provide investors with a nuanced perspective on the company's future performance and potential.


InvestingPro Insights


As Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) adapts to industry challenges and strategizes for growth, insights from InvestingPro suggest a mixed financial landscape. With a market capitalization of $14.08 billion and a P/E ratio of 24.65, the company is navigating through a competitive quick-service industry. Notably, Domino's has raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns even during periods of market uncertainty. Additionally, the company's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, providing financial flexibility in the current economic climate.


InvestingPro data also shows a revenue growth of 2.28% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, with a more significant quarterly increase of 7.14% in Q2 2024, reflecting Domino's resilience and potential for recovery. However, the company is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple, which may suggest a premium price for its earnings potential. For investors considering Domino's stock, it's worth noting that there are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing deeper analysis and guidance on the company's financial health and investment prospects. These tips, along with real-time metrics, can be accessed through the InvestingPro platform for those looking for a comprehensive investment tool.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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