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Deutsche Bank sets $70 target on Birkenstock, cites growth potential

Published 12/06/2024, 22:00
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On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) resumed coverage on Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE: NYSE:BIRK), bestowing a Buy rating on the stock with a price target of $70.00. The financial institution highlighted Birkenstock's noteworthy industry margins and its potential for sustained revenue growth as key factors for the positive outlook.

Birkenstock, renowned for its robust gross profit exceeding 60% and EBITDA margins surpassing 30%, outperforms many counterparts in the retail sector. Deutsche Bank underscored the company's superior performance regardless of market conditions, emphasizing its complete control over production and supply chain processes. The bank also projected further upward revisions to the company's financial estimates throughout the year, propelled by strong demand across all regions.

The analysis pointed out that Birkenstock's financial success could be further amplified through strategic product and channel mix enhancements. Additionally, the expansion of production capabilities, the launch of new product lines, and deeper market penetration, especially in the Americas and the Asia-Pacific Latin America (APLA) region, are expected to support top-line growth.

Deutsche Bank also noted that Birkenstock's shares are trading at a significant discount compared to its growth-oriented peers, specifically 25% lower than Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) and On Holding AG (ONON) on a next twelve months (NTM) enterprise value/EBITDA basis. This valuation gap suggests a favorable risk/reward balance for Birkenstock's stock at its current trading levels.

In other recent news, Birkenstock Holding plc has been the focus of several analyst adjustments following its strong financial performance. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral but raised its price target to $58, reflecting the company's robust earnings and free cash flow forecasts. Meanwhile, Stifel retained its Buy rating and increased its price target to $63, acknowledging Birkenstock's effective global brand strategy and its potential for further growth.

BMO Capital Markets, Baird, and Telsey Advisory Group also raised their price targets to $60, $65, and $63 respectively, all maintaining Outperform ratings. These adjustments were driven by Birkenstock's strong sales and earnings, leading to an upward revision of its annual guidance. The company's expected revenues for the fiscal year 2024 are anticipated to be between €1.77 billion and €1.78 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projections set at €535 million to €545 million.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Deutsche Bank's optimistic perspective on Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE: BIRK), recent data from InvestingPro reinforces the bank's confidence in the company's financial trajectory. With a robust market capitalization of $11.11 billion and a striking gross profit margin of 60.85% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, Birkenstock's financial health appears strong. The company's revenue growth of 21.38% during the same period underscores its dynamic performance in the market.

Adding depth to the analysis, two InvestingPro Tips highlight key points for potential investors: Birkenstock's net income is expected to grow this year, and six analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. These insights suggest that the company's financial outlook is favorable and that it may continue to deliver impressive results. For readers interested in a deeper dive into Birkenstock's financials, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with a total of 17 tips available to guide investment decisions. Using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking valuable insights to inform their investment strategies.

While the company's P/E ratio stands at a high 100.68, indicating a premium valuation, this may reflect the market's expectations of future growth, as supported by the positive revisions from analysts. Moreover, the company's liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations and a moderate level of debt contribute to a stable financial foundation. With these metrics in mind, Birkenstock's current position in the market and its potential for continued growth align with Deutsche Bank's Buy rating and $70.00 price target.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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