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Deutsche Bank sees Coloplast stock outperforming on strong market leadership and growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 21/10/2024, 11:46
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On Monday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) initiated coverage on Coloplast (CSE:COLOb) A/S (COLOB:DC) (OTC: CLPBY) stock with a Buy rating and a price target of DKK1,020.00.

The firm highlighted Coloplast's leading position in the healthcare product sector, focusing on areas such as Ostomy, Continence and Wound Care, Interventional Urology, and Voice & Respiratory Care.

Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that Coloplast is poised to outperform its end markets and peers, with projected compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) of 8% for sales and 14% for adjusted earnings per share (EPS) from fiscal year 2024 to 2029.

The bank's analyst pointed out that Coloplast's shares are trading at an attractive 34 times fiscal year 2025 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is within the company's historical trading range of 29 to 41 times. This valuation, along with the company's strong product launches and market-leading positions in Ostomy and Continence Care, informed the decision to recommend a Buy rating.

Coloplast has been recognized for its dominant market presence in Chronic Care, which includes Ostomy and Continence Care. These areas are characterized by the treatment of chronic conditions, coverage by reimbursement, and a loyal user base. The products provided by Coloplast are typically used for an average duration of up to 30 years, which contributes to the company's stable market position.

The analyst also emphasized the importance of reimbursement coverage for Coloplast's products, noting that over 90% of the company's product sales benefit from this financial support. This factor, combined with the company's sticky customer base and clear market visibility, positions Coloplast favorably in structurally growing end markets.

In other recent news, Coloplast A/S has been the subject of several analyst adjustments. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) downgraded Coloplast stock from Equalweight to Underweight, citing concerns over earnings per share (EPS) downside risk and a high valuation.

The firm also reduced the price target to DKK813.00. Morgan Stanley expects Coloplast's fiscal year 2025 EBIT and EPS to be 4% and 7% below the consensus, respectively.

UBS also downgraded Coloplast's stock from Neutral to Sell, despite projecting an 8% revenue and 11% earnings per share compound annual growth rate from 2024 to 2028. The firm cited potential challenges and a valuation at a 55% premium compared to the sector.

Citi maintained its Neutral rating for Coloplast, noting a slight outperformance in the Advanced Wound Care segment and a shortfall in the Interventional Urology division.

On a positive note, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Coloplast's stock from Equalweight to Overweight, expressing optimism about the company's growth prospects and financial performance. They anticipate a growth acceleration to around 9% and improvements in margins and returns.

Barclays also sees potential for considerable upside in the US continence market, suggesting that reimbursement changes could lead to a 30% increase in the value of Coloplast's US continence franchise. These are recent developments that have emerged from various analyst notes.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Deutsche Bank's positive outlook on Coloplast A/S (OTC: CLPBY), InvestingPro data reveals some compelling financial metrics that support the company's strong market position. As of the last twelve months ending Q3 2024, Coloplast reported a robust revenue of $3.78 billion, with a healthy revenue growth of 8.1%. The company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 67.52%, underscoring its efficiency in managing production costs.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Coloplast's commitment to shareholder value, noting that the company "has raised its dividend for 15 consecutive years" and "has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years." This consistent dividend policy aligns with Deutsche Bank's view of Coloplast as a stable investment in the healthcare sector.

Furthermore, the InvestingPro data shows that Coloplast is "trading at a high earnings multiple" with a P/E ratio of 40.88, which is consistent with Deutsche Bank's assessment of the company trading at 34 times fiscal year 2025 P/E. This valuation reflects market confidence in Coloplast's growth prospects and market leadership.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips on Coloplast, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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