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Deutsche Bank raises Assa Abloy shares target on strong profit margins

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 18/07/2024, 10:28
ASAZY
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On Thursday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) increased its price target on Assa Abloy (OTC:ASAZY) AB (ASSAB:SS) (OTC: ASAZY) shares to SEK290 from SEK285 while maintaining a Hold rating. The adjustment follows the company's second-quarter results, which the bank found to be largely consistent with market expectations.

Assa Abloy reported a slight miss in volume, with a 3% decline, counterbalanced by a positive pricing impact of 2%. Additionally, the firm's profit margins were slightly higher than anticipated, coming in at 16.0%, which was 10 basis points above the consensus.

The analyst noted that the residential market is showing promising signs, highlighted by high single-digit revenue growth in the HHI segment. However, the non-residential market presents a mixed outlook, with a noted decline in momentum within the specification business.

Despite the stagnant organic growth forecast for 2024, which was revised down to 0% from an initial 1%, Deutsche Bank expects a marginally improved margin of 16.0%, up from 15.9%.

Assa Abloy's performance in the Global Technologies division and the company's merger and acquisition strategy were cited as areas of ongoing concern by the analyst.

These factors are part of the rationale behind the maintained Hold rating, implying that while the company's stock has potential, there are still elements that warrant caution.

The bank's earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Assa Abloy in 2024 remain largely unchanged in light of the recent performance data and forward-looking projections. The company's ability to maintain positive pricing amidst a challenging market environment contributed to the stability of these projections.

In summary, Deutsche Bank's revised price target reflects a cautiously optimistic view of Assa Abloy's current financial health and future prospects, with particular attention to the company's market segments and overall strategic direction.

In other recent news, Assa Abloy, a global lock manufacturer, has seen adjustments in stock targets from major analyst firms. Citi revised its price target for Assa Abloy, reducing it from SEK285.00 to SEK280.00, while maintaining a Sell rating. This decision followed Assa Abloy's reported earnings, which showed a slight miss in second-quarter revenue, despite stronger performance in the U.S. residential market.

Citi's analysis suggests that the current momentum in the U.S. residential sector is likely to diminish by 2025, and expectations for the Global Technologies division seem too high given the slow underlying momentum.

In contrast, Deutsche Bank increased its price target on Assa Abloy shares to SEK285.00 from SEK275.00, while maintaining a Hold rating. The firm anticipates flat organic sales and a slight decrease in the adjusted EBIT margin.

Deutsche Bank raised concerns about Assa Abloy's recent mergers and acquisitions strategy, focusing on lower-value-added segments, which could dilute the company's exposure to higher-growth segments.

Jefferies also adjusted its price target for Assa Abloy shares, setting the new target at SEK 292.00, increased from SEK 275.00, while retaining a Hold rating. The change reflects Jefferies' forecast of a 0.6% organic revenue growth for Assa Abloy and an adjusted EBIT at SEK 6.2 billion.

These recent developments highlight ongoing analysis and adjustments made by the firms in their outlook for Assa Abloy, each weighing the company's performance, market conditions, and future projections differently.

InvestingPro Insights

As Assa Abloy navigates the complexities of the market, recent data from InvestingPro underscores the company's financial health and strategic positioning. With a market capitalization of $33.15 billion and a P/E ratio of 23.72, Assa Abloy demonstrates a significant presence in the Building Products industry. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident, having raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years and maintaining dividend payments for 29 consecutive years. This is indicative of a stable financial policy and a reliable income stream for investors.

The company's strategic moves and financial metrics are further illuminated by two key InvestingPro Tips: Assa Abloy is trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which suggests a premium valuation given its current earnings trajectory. Additionally, analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, signaling confidence in the company's ability to grow its earnings. Investors seeking a deeper analysis and additional insights can find more InvestingPro Tips on the company's profile, with a total of 10 tips available to guide investment decisions.

For those interested in leveraging these insights, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive suite of tools and data. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, providing an opportunity to stay ahead with informed investment strategies.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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