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Deutsche Bank lowers Brenntag shares target amid Q1 performance shortfall

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/06/2024, 09:40
BNTGY
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On Tuesday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) adjusted its price target for Brenntag AG (BNR:GR) (OTC: BNTGY) shares, a global market leader in chemical and ingredients distribution. The new price target is set at €86.30, reduced from the previous €88.90. Despite this change, the firm maintains a Buy rating on the company's stock.

The revision follows Brenntag's first-quarter performance, which did not meet expectations due to a decrease in gross profit per unit that surpassed the growth in volume across most of its business units.

The chemical distribution sector has been facing a challenging market environment, characterized by volatile demand and supply, though there have been early indications of a recovery in volume.

In response to the quarter's outcome, Brenntag's management has expressed a commitment to tightening operational costs. Additionally, they are considering a slower pace for investments in DiDEX, which is a key part of the company's digital transformation strategy aimed at improving customer and supplier experience.

The company's latest financial report and statements made during the conference call highlight management's disappointment with the recent performance. Brenntag's leadership is now prioritizing cost management and is reevaluating the speed of investment in digital initiatives as part of their strategy to navigate the ongoing market volatility.

Investors and stakeholders of Brenntag AG are now observing how these adjustments in strategy and focus on operational efficiency will impact the company's financial health and market position in the coming quarters. The firm's stock continues to be listed under the Buy category by Deutsche Bank, signaling a positive outlook despite the current challenges.

In other recent news, Brenntag AG experienced a decrease in its first-quarter revenue and earnings, underperforming analyst expectations. The company's Q1 2024 revenue fell by 10.9% year-over-year to EUR4.00 billion, missing the forecasted figure of EUR4.25 billion.

Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) also significantly dropped by 28% year-over-year to EUR239 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of EUR250 million.

Furthermore, a worrying decline in free cash flow was noted, with a 61% year-over-year decrease to EUR175 million. This trend has led CFRA, who maintains a Sell rating on the stock, to anticipate that Brenntag may reduce its 2024 dividend payment if this pattern continues into the second quarter.

Brenntag's net debt saw a minor increase, rising to EUR2.23 billion from EUR2.19 billion at the end of 2023. Consequently, CFRA has revised its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Brenntag downward, with the 2024 EPS projection now at EUR4.85 and the 2025 EPS forecast at EUR5.25.

In response to these financial results, Brenntag's management has adjusted its 2024 operating EBITA guidance towards the lower end of the previously stated range of EUR1.23 to EUR1.43 billion. These recent developments reflect CFRA's expectation of continued earnings weakness in both segments of the company in the upcoming quarters of 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

As investors consider Deutsche Bank's revised price target for Brenntag AG, it's important to look at the company through the lens of recent performance metrics and market behavior. Brenntag's market capitalization stands at $10.15 billion, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.12, reflecting investor sentiment on its earnings capacity. Notably, the company's dividend yield is currently at 2.57%, a testament to its commitment to returning value to shareholders, having raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Brenntag's proactive management strategy, as evidenced by aggressive share buybacks and a high shareholder yield. Additionally, the company is recognized as a prominent player in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry and operates with a moderate level of debt. While analysts have revised earnings downwards for the upcoming period, Brenntag's stock generally trades with low price volatility, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. For those interested in exploring further, there are an additional 9 InvestingPro Tips available, providing deeper insights into Brenntag's financial health and market prospects. To access these tips, visit: https://www.investing.com/pro/BNTGY and remember to use coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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