On Tuesday, a Williams Trading analyst revised the price target for Deckers Outdoor (NYSE: NYSE:DECK) shares, with a significant adjustment from $1,130.00 to $189.00. The change reflects the new valuation following a 6-for-1 stock split. Despite the lowered price target, the analyst has maintained a Buy rating on the stock.
The adjustment comes after a review of the company's fiscal year 2025 and 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates, which have been reduced from $33.96 and $39.56 to $5.66 and $6.59, respectively. The new price target has been set to align with the stock split, translating the previous closing price of $937.68 to a split-adjusted $156.28.
The analyst expressed continued confidence in Deckers Outdoor, naming it their top pick. The firm's stance is based on the belief that the company's guidance contains "troppa sabia," indicating that it may be overly conservative.
The analyst highlighted that Deckers did not fully account for missed UGG sales in the fall of 2023, and anticipates that HOKA's fiscal year 2025 sales growth will mirror its fiscal year 2024 performance, despite the company's guidance suggesting a 20% increase.
The report pointed out the potential for UGG, where guidance predicts a mid-single-digit (MSD) increase, despite exceptional demand and lack of inventory from Thanksgiving through Christmas last year. The analyst's checks indicate that demand for UGG remains strong today. Furthermore, the expectation is that HOKA's revenue growth for fiscal year 2025 will surpass the 20% growth projected in the guidance, with fiscal year 2024 HOKA revenue expected to rise by 24%.
In other recent news, Deckers Outdoor Corporation experienced significant developments. The company has undergone a 6:1 stock split, a move aimed at making its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors. This decision was endorsed by TD Cowen, which maintained a Buy rating on the shares and adjusted the stock's price target to $176, reflecting the split-adjusted valuation.
Deckers Outdoor also reported a robust 22% increase in Q1 FY2025 revenues, reaching $825 million. This growth was driven by a 30% surge in revenue from the HOKA brand to $545 million and a 14% rise from the UGG brand to $223 million. As a result, Deckers' annual profit forecast has been revised upwards.
Investment firms Baird, Truist Securities, and TD Cowen have raised their price targets for Deckers, indicating a positive outlook. Baird maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of $1,075, while TD Cowen endorsed the stock with a Buy rating.
Deckers' new CEO, Stefano Caroti, is set to take over leadership, and retailers such as Dicks Sporting Goods and Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) are adjusting their inventory strategies to accommodate more HOKA and UGG products. These are recent developments that continue to shape the company's performance and market position.
InvestingPro Insights
In light of the recent stock split and updated price targets for Deckers Outdoor, it's worth considering additional insights from InvestingPro to gauge the company's financial health and market performance. Notably, Deckers Outdoor has been proactive in enhancing shareholder value, as evidenced by aggressive share buybacks—a move that often reflects management's confidence in the company's future (InvestingPro Tip). Moreover, the company holds a stronger cash position than debt, suggesting financial stability and the potential for strategic investments or further shareholder returns (InvestingPro Tip).
From a financial metrics standpoint, Deckers Outdoor boasts a market capitalization of $3.96 billion, with a P/E ratio of 29.88, indicating investors' expectations of future growth. The company's revenue has grown by 20.3% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, with a gross profit margin of 56.54%, demonstrating its ability to maintain profitability amidst growth (InvestingPro Data). Furthermore, Deckers Outdoor's return on assets stands at an impressive 26.38%, highlighting efficient use of its assets to generate earnings (InvestingPro Data).
For readers interested in a deeper dive, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive look at Deckers Outdoor's financials, market performance, and analyst predictions. These tips can be a valuable resource for investors considering Deckers Outdoor as part of their portfolio. To explore these insights, visit InvestingPro's dedicated page for Deckers Outdoor at https://www.investing.com/pro/DECK.
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