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DA Davidson lowers FiscalNote shares target as growth stalls and cash burn rises

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/08/2024, 10:56
NOTE
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On Friday, FiscalNote Holdings (NYSE:NOTE) experienced a reduction in its price target, which was set at $1.05, down from the previous $1.35, while the neutral rating was maintained. The adjustment comes after the company reported its second-quarter results, which were modestly above consensus.

However, the company's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) saw a $1 million decrease from the previous quarter and exhibited a mere 2% year-over-year growth.

This sluggish performance was attributed to a significant increase in customer churn, with approximately 200 fewer customers compared to the previous quarter. The downturn was linked to broader economic challenges and delays in product enhancements.

The company has also revised its revenue guidance for fiscal year 2024, now anticipating a 1% year-over-year decline on an organic basis, adjusted for the divestiture of Board.org.

Despite the downward revision in revenue expectations, FiscalNote's EBITDA guidance remains unchanged, with projections between $7 million and $9 million. The current market conditions and internal challenges have led to doubts about the likelihood of a near-term reacceleration in growth for the company.

Analysts have expressed concerns regarding FiscalNote's financial health, projecting an estimated cash burn of approximately $15 million to $20 million for the current year.

This forecasted rate of cash consumption is expected to further strain the company's balance sheet. The revised price target reflects these financial pressures and the anticipation of continued challenges in achieving growth.

In summary, FiscalNote Holdings is navigating a period of financial uncertainty, with reduced customer numbers and a cautious outlook for the near future. The company's stock price target has been adjusted in light of these factors, and the neutral stance suggests a wait-and-see approach to the stock's future performance.

InvestingPro Insights

As FiscalNote Holdings (NYSE:NOTE) grapples with its financial challenges, real-time metrics from InvestingPro provide a deeper insight into the company's current market position. With a market capitalization of $185.47 million, the company's valuation reflects investor sentiment amidst its operational struggles. The gross profit margin stands at an impressive 72.28%, indicating that while FiscalNote faces headwinds, it retains a strong ability to generate profit from its revenues. However, an adjusted P/E ratio of -2.74 and a negative return on assets of -7.12% highlight the financial difficulties the company is experiencing.

InvestingPro Tips further underscore the concerns, noting that FiscalNote operates with a significant debt burden and may have trouble making interest payments on its debt, which is particularly worrisome given the company's negative earnings outlook. On the flip side, the high shareholder yield is a positive aspect that could attract investors looking for potential returns. For those interested in an in-depth analysis of FiscalNote's financial health and future prospects, there are additional tips available on InvestingPro, providing a comprehensive understanding of the company's position in the market.

The insights provided by InvestingPro suggest caution for current and potential investors, as the company does not pay dividends and analysts do not anticipate profitability this year. These factors, along with the stock's poor performance over the last month, with a -23.03% return, paint a sobering picture for FiscalNote's immediate future. For those seeking further guidance, InvestingPro offers a total of 9 additional tips, which can be accessed for a detailed investment strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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